Khamis, 9 Mei 2013

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In the aftermath of May 5th (part 3)

Posted: 08 May 2013 10:44 PM PDT

What Najib did not suspect was that some other Barisan Nasional leaders from Sabah and Sarawak wanted to follow Lajim Ukin and Wilfred Bumburing when they crossed over. However, Anwar told them to stay put in Barisan Nasional and contest the general election under the ruling party banner and then cross over after the general election.

THE CORRIDORS OF POWER

Raja Petra Kamarudin

You may love Anwar Ibrahim or you may hate him. But one thing you must not do is to underestimate him. That would be a big mistake if you were a 'struggling' Prime Minister like Najib Tun Razak.

Anwar knew that if Najib could not do better than Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi in the March 2008 general election then Najib would be in deep shit. Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad would cut off his balls and nail it to the wall. (And Dr Mahathir is sharpening his knife even as you read this).

So that was Anwar's first aim. Even if you cannot take over the government just make sure that Najib does not get more than 140 parliamentary seats. And Najib did not do better than what Pak Lah did in March 2008. In fact, he did worse -- he won seven parliamentary seats less than in 2008.

So now Najib is facing so much internal problems with Dr Mahathir breathing down his neck he no longer has any time or energy to worry about Anwar or about what Anwar is up to.

And that works fine for Anwar as far as he is concerned. He can now distract Najib even further with his road shows that started last night in Kelana Jaya -- which means Najib now has two major battles to fight.

Do you think Anwar can walk in to Putrajaya by organising rallies and road shows? Do you think the Election Commission will call for fresh elections just because Anwar says they must?

If you believe that then you are sillier than I first thought. The Election Commission has just told Anwar to go screw himself. But that is not a problem because that is not Anwar's real game plan. His real game plan is to 'steal' the government through crossovers -- just like Barisan Nasional 'stole' it through election fraud.

What Najib did not suspect was that some other Barisan Nasional leaders from Sabah and Sarawak wanted to follow Lajim Ukin and Wilfred Bumburing when they crossed over. However, Anwar told them to stay put in Barisan Nasional and contest the general election under the ruling party banner and then cross over after the general election.

Many may have been puzzled as to why Pakatan Rakyat created such a mess in Sabah and Sarawak. Even a political novice knows that you need Sabah and Sarawak to march in to Putrajaya since these two East Malaysian states control 25% of the seats in parliament.

Sabah and Sarawak will always control 25% of the seats even if they have only 10% of the nation's population. That is what was decided in the Malaysian Agreement. (Hence the one-man-one-vote system cannot work in Malaysia because then Sabah and Sarawak can never have 25% of the seats in parliament).

Anyway, Anwar is not as stupid as you may think. It may appear like he messed up in Sabah and Sarawak. Actually he was not interested to win Sabah and Sarawak through the ballot box because he knew that would be very difficult to do and you would be wasting a lot of time and money while achieving very little.

Hence he just made a token effort in Sabah and Sarawak and did not worry too much about how many seats he would win. After all, he was not going to win that many anyway, other than the ones that DAP won in the predominantly Chinese constituencies.

Of course he wanted Sabah and Sarawak. But he wanted them not through the elections. He wanted them after the elections once he knows how many seats he can win in West Malaysia and how more seats he needs to be able to form the federal government.

So now, while the entire nation is focusing on the rallies that are going to be organised all over the country, Anwar is secretly negotiating with the Barisan Nasional Members of Parliament from Sabah and Sarawak.

Pakatan Rakyat needs at least 23 more parliamentary seats to form the federal government. 25 would be better. Then Pakatan Rakyat would have six more seats than Barisan Nasional.

Anwar's 'war room' masterminds are Dr Rahim Ghouse, Saifuddin Nasution, Johari Abdul and Azmin Ali. These are the people hatching all the plots and planning the strategies. They were also the masterminds behind the Free Anwar Campaign, which I headed from 2000 to 2004. So I have personally worked with them since more than ten years ago and I know how they do things and what makes them tick.

So all of you who wish to scream and shout in the stadium rallies please continue to do so. I know it is great fun because we too used to do all this back in the old days. But do not expect anything great from that other than just having a good time.

Those rallies are not going to allow Anwar to walk in to Putrajaya because no new elections are going to be called. Even the Election Petitions are not going to achieve much unless you have strong evidence of fraud -- and you do not.

All the 'evidence' of election fraud is mere hearsay and rumours. There were no extra ballot boxes. Hell, there were no blackouts as well. So how do you win your court cases based purely on gut feel?

Sabah and Sarawak know they are now the Kingmakers. If they stay with Barisan Nasional then Anwar is screwed. If they jump then Najib is screwed. But before they make the decision whether to stay or to jump, they want to know what's in it for them.

Can they get extra federal cabinet posts? One Deputy Prime Minister's post maybe? Can they see an increase in oil royalty from 5% to 20%? Can they get more autonomy like what the 18- and 20-Point Agreements promised them?

So the horse-trading is now going on. Anwar is making his offers and Najib will have to counter-offer something better. So we may yet see Anwar become the new Prime Minister if Najib cannot better Anwar's offer and the Members of Parliament from Sabah and Sarawak cross over.

In the meantime, while all this is going on, Najib has Dr Mahathir to worry about while Anwar has to try to pacify Azmin to make sure he does not jump if he is not made the Menteri Besar of Selangor. If not then Anwar might as well abandon the negotiations because the crossovers from Sabah and Sarawak will be neutralised by Azmin and gang once they declare themselves 'independents'.

Sigh….and you want me to enter politics? You must be crazy! Why would I want to suffer all this aggravation and anxiety? 

TO BE CONTINUED

 

In the aftermath of May 5th (part 2) (UPDATED with Chinese Translation)

Posted: 08 May 2013 08:12 PM PDT

Umno has still not recovered from this shock and even Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad is pissed big time. He is blaming Najib for wasting his time and the government's resources in trying to woo back the Chinese when that time and money could have been better spent in the rural areas where the Malays are the majority.

THE CORRIDORS OF POWER

Raja Petra Kamarudin

In part 1 of this series I said, "Luckily Najib Tun Razak is the Prime Minister. If I were the Prime Minister I would send my people in there with a bomb to create havoc and make sure that some people die. Then there would have been a lot of anger against Pakatan Rakyat for its poor security. Furthermore, I can then declare an emergency and suspend Parliament and the State Assemblies. And once I rule by martial law I can make changes that only a two-thirds majority in Parliament can."

Okay, what would I do if I were Anwar Ibrahim, the Opposition Leader, instead?

Well, then for sure I would arrange for my agent provocateurs to plant a small explosive device at the far end of the stadium, farthest from the stage where I would be sitting. This explosive device is meant to take just a few lives and create a reasonable amount of injury, plus trigger a panic followed by a stampede (which will take more lives than the explosive device itself).

No doubt some lives would be lost but then this is what politics is all about -- collateral damage. After all, if the ballot does not work -- as Sunday, 5th May 2013 has proven -- then you need to choose the bullet over the ballot. So in that sense Anwar is a more decent person than I am. If I wanted federal power as desperately as Anwar does then I would allow the ends to justify the means.

I mean when the Germans advanced on Leningrad during World War II, Stalin ordered a scorched-earth policy to defeat the Germans, as they did about 130 years earlier to defeat the French. He allowed hunger and the cold to weaken the Germans and with a scorched-earth policy the Germans would be denied food and shelter.

The downside to this, of course, would be that Russian civilians would also die and about 12 million of the 20 million deaths were non-combatants. However, in the bigger scheme of things, civilian loses are unavoidable. This is what the fight for power is all about, sacrificing pawns in the game of thrones.

If something untoward did happen in the Kelana Jaya Stadium last night everyone would blame Umno and Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak. No one would dream that it was an 'inside job'. Even more sympathy for Pakatan Rakyat would be gained plus the people would rise in anger and bring down the government. Was not Suharto and Marcos brought down only once people died? And Marcos and Suharto were far more powerful and stronger than Najib is.

I suppose that is why it is dangerous to allow me to become a politician. I am too devious and merciless and would not allow anything to stand in my way of reaching the top. Luckily Anwar is not as cold-blooded as I am. That is one thing Malaysia has to be thankful for.

On another note, the Team Khalid versus Team Azmin tussle for power is causing a stalemate in Selangor. PAS and DAP want Khalid as they can work with him better than they can with Azmin. The PKR Supreme Council, however, is in support of Azmin. To complicate matters further, Anwar supports Azmin while Anwar's wife and daughter support Khalid.

Umno is watching this crisis with great interest and anxiety. Umno too wants Khalid because they feel that Khalid is the weaker of the two while Azmin is just too sharp for his own good. With Khalid at the helm, Umno has a better chance of capturing Selangor in the next election than with Azmin in charge.

Azmin may not have the administrative skills that Khalid has but Azmin is a far better politician and he will know how to retain Selangor in the next general election four or five years from now. (Azmin is as ruthless as I am and he too would be comfortable with collateral damage. So in that sense I admire his guts as a politician although I dislike him as a person).

Azmin has Anwar over a barrel. If Anwar chooses Khalid then he would be going against his own party's Supreme Council and there would be the added danger of Azmin leaving with at least 11 or even 15 of his supporters. And that is the second reason why Umno wants Khalid rather than Azmin as the Menteri Besar.

Note that most of the candidates in the recent general election are Azmin's people and handpicked by him. Hence they are loyal to him and would follow him if he were to leave the party and become an 'independent'.

Umno knows that its survival depends on the Malays and Indians (plus the natives of East Malaysia). In the recent general election, more than 90% of the Chinese voted for Pakatan Rakyat, mainly DAP. In some saluran, 100% of the Chinese voted opposition. Not a single Chinese vote went to Barisan Nasional.

This has shocked Umno. They knew that the Chinese would not vote Barisan Nasional but they did not expect it to be this bad. They thought they could get at least 10-15% of the Chinese vote. They did not think that the Chinese vote for Pakatan Rakyat would be in the high 90s and in some places 100%.

Umno has still not recovered from this shock and even Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad is pissed big time. He is blaming Najib for wasting his time and the government's resources in trying to woo back the Chinese when that time and money could have been better spent in the rural areas where the Malays are the majority.

There are about 50 or so of the 222 parliamentary seats that are Chinese majority. Another 57 of the seats are in West Malaysia, some of them Chinese majority seats as well (so there is some overlap here).

Hence Umno has to make sure that a minimum of 95 of the 120 Malay majority seats plus at least 45 of the East Malaysian seats are retained. Then Umno can afford to write-off the Chinese totally.

Ideally they should increase the parliamentary seats by another 10 or 15, mainly in the rural areas plus in East Malaysia. This would ensure that Barisan Nasional would be able to retain power in 2018 even if Pakatan Rakyat increases it share of the popular vote to 55%. Then Barisan Nasional can still be in power even with just 45% of the popular vote.

But to do this they need a two-thirds majority in Parliament and they are hoping that Azmin and his gang will cross over to give them the two-thirds that they need to increase the number of seats in favour of Barisan Nasional. And for both those reasons Umno is hoping that Khalid gets the job of Selangor Menteri Besar.

I just love Malaysian politics.

TO BE CONTINUED

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巫統至今還未從此震驚中囘過神來,就連敦馬也爲此而深感忿怒。他正怪罪納吉,指他浪費時間和國家資源來討好華人。那些時間和資源大可以用在馬來人聚集的郊外地區上。

原文:Raja Petra Kamarudin

譯文:方宙

在上一篇我寫到:"幸虧納吉是我國首相,如果我是首相的話,我會派人拿個炸彈在裏面引爆來製造死人的浩劫,然後就會有很多人把矛頭指向民聯,說他們沒有做好保安。再者,我可以宣佈我國正式進入緊急狀態,屆時我就可以瓦解國會和州會以戒嚴法令治國,令我可以如奪得2/3國會議席般隨心所欲地修改國家法令。"

好了,那如果我是反對黨領袖安華的話,那我又會怎樣做呢?

我會安排我的'臥底'在體育館内離我講臺最遠的邊緣放個小炸彈。那個小炸彈的目的不是要奪得很多人命而是要令多人受傷和引發恐慌來製造人踩人的悲劇(這將會比那個炸彈致死更多人)。

無疑的將會有很多人因此死亡,但這正是政治的'精髓'----附帶犧牲。底限是,如果投票解決不了問題的話----5月5號的大選已證明了這一點----那就用子彈來解決吧。所以說安華他比我有道德,如果我像他一樣那麽亡命地渴望權力的話,我會讓結果合理化我的行動。

我的意思是,當年二戰期間德軍進軍列寧格勒時,斯大林用了'燒掉一切'的對策來擊敗德軍,正如130年前他們用來擊敗法國般。他用飢餓和寒冷慢慢地削弱德軍的戰鬥力,因爲'燒掉一切'策略主要就是不給德軍留任何食物和避寒地。

這個策略犧牲的當然就是俄國的人民。這場戰役2000万死亡人數中就有1200万是普通人,但爲了保全大益,人民的犧牲是無可避免的。這就是權力鬥爭的中心----在王位鬥爭遊戲中犧牲掉那些小卒。

如果昨晚真的發生了不幸的事故的話那所有人一定會把罪怪在巫統和納吉身上,因爲沒有人會懷疑這是'自己人'干的。民聯將會迎來更多的同情而人民也會憤怒地把政府給推翻。蘇哈多和馬可思不就是在有人死掉後才被推翻的嗎?當年的蘇哈多和馬可思可比現在的納吉還要強大得多了。

我想如果我從政的話那是件很危險的事情。我太奸詐無情了,我不會讓任何事情阻擋我掌權。幸虧安華並沒我這般冷血,這是馬來西亞應該感到慶幸的。

另一件事情,卡立對壘阿玆敏之戰已讓整個雪蘭莪都僵持在那了。伊黨和行動黨都挺卡立上位,因爲他們跟卡立比較合得來,但公正黨最高理事會的心水人選是阿玆敏。而更絕的是,安華本身是支持阿玆敏的,但他的妻子和女兒都支持卡立。

在另一邊觀望的巫統則是又好奇又擔憂。巫統想要卡立上位,因爲對比起阿玆敏他較爲軟弱而阿玆敏則是太尖銳聰明了。如果卡立掌權的話,那巫統要重奪雪州就相對地容易得多。

阿玆敏的管理能力可能沒比卡立好,但他是個很強的政客,他知道如何在未來4,5年保住雪州政權(阿玆敏同我一樣殘酷,他對附帶犧牲不會覺得反感。所以我很敬佩他的政客膽量,但我對他的爲人則深感厭惡)。

阿玆敏把安華弄得很糾結;如果安華任卡立為大臣的話那就會違反了最高理事會的意願,與此同時阿玆敏可能會帶領他10個,甚至是15個支持者離黨。這就是巫統要卡立上位的第二個原因。 

請記住,此屆大選很多候選人都是阿玆敏親點上陣的,所以他們對他都很忠心且會為他脫離公正黨成爲'獨立人士'。

巫統很明瞭他們必須靠馬來人和印度人(再加上東馬土著)來生存。在此屆大選,多過90%的華人都投給反對黨,尤其是行動黨。在一些地區甚至有100%的華人都投給反對黨,沒有一票是投給囯陣的。

這對巫統來講是很震撼的。他們知道華人不會投給囯陣,但他們沒有想到情況會是這樣糟糕。他們以爲他們至少會得到10-15%的華人票,他們根本就沒想到90%,甚至100%的華人會投給民聯。

巫統至今還未從此震驚中囘過神來,就連敦馬也爲此而深感忿怒。他正怪罪納吉,指他浪費時間和國家資源來討好華人。那些時間和資源大可以用在馬來人聚集的郊外地區上。

在222個囯席當中大約有50個是華人居多的議席。在東馬的57個囯席當中,也有一小部分是華人議席(這裡有一些重疊)。

所以說巫統必須確保他們保得住(總數120個的)95個馬來席和至少45個東馬囯席。只有這樣巫統才能完全地忘掉華人的威脅。

在理想的情況下,巫統他們是想在鄉村地區和東馬囊括多10-15個席位。這將會確保他們在2018年也會繼續執政,即使是民聯在那個時候擁有55%的票選。囯陣屆時凴45%的票選也能執政了。

但他們現在需要2/3多數議席才能達成他們的目的,所以他們希望阿玆敏能夠帶領他的追隨者跳槽到他們那邊,這樣他們就能有2/3多數議席了。以上這些原因足以解釋爲何巫統希望雪州大臣是卡立而不是阿玆敏了。

我真的很愛大馬的政治。

(敬請期待下一篇文章)

 

In the aftermath of May 5th (part 1) (UPDATED with Chinese Translation)

Posted: 08 May 2013 06:27 PM PDT

Once the election results are officially gazetted, Pakatan Rakyat should immediately file Election Petitions in court. In the meantime they should gather the evidence in preparation. Umno and Barisan Nasional will be doing this, at least Umno Terengganu will, and if they win their cases then Pakatan Rakyat is going to lose a few more seats.

THE CORRIDORS OF POWER

Raja Petra Kamarudin

Polis akan memanggil 28 individu termasuk beberapa pemimpin pembangkang yang berceramah pada Himpunan Suara Rakyat Suara Keramat di Stadium Kelana Jaya, malam tadi.

Ketua Polis Selangor, Datuk Tun Hisan Tun Hamzah berkata, kesemua mereka akan dipanggil dalam tempoh terdekat bagi membantu siasatan mengikut Seksyen 4 (1) Akta Hasutan 1948.

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I refer to the statement by Selangor CPO today that 28 Pakatan leaders who spoke at the Kelana Jaya rally on 8th May will be probed for sedition: N. Surendran (READ MORE HERE)

***************************************************

The gathering last night was meant to pressure the Election Commission (SPR) into invalidating the 13th General Election of Sunday, 5th May 2013. If they do agree to do this then this would be the first time in Malaysian history that we are seeing such a thing happen. Anyway, is there any provision in the Federal Constitution of Malaysia for such a thing?

One thing we are very concerned about, and which we are fighting the government over, is that the Constitution is not being respected and upheld. That is one of our bones of contention. Therefore I shy away from pushing for something ulta vires. (Remember Karpal Singh was arrested and charged in court for using that phrase, ultra vires, in describing the action of His Highness the Sultan of Perak?)

Once the election results are officially gazetted, Pakatan Rakyat should immediately file Election Petitions in court. In the meantime they should gather the evidence in preparation. Umno and Barisan Nasional will be doing this, at least Umno Terengganu will, and if they win their cases then Pakatan Rakyat is going to lose a few more seats.

You may say we cannot trust Malaysia's judiciary but there have been instances such as in East Malaysia and Penang (Permatang Pauh: Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail) where the opposition has won its Election Petition cases. And remember, I, too, won both my habeas corpus cases in 2001 and 2008. And did not Anwar Ibrahim win his Sodomy 2 and other cases as well (plus Zainur Zakaria, Azmin Ali, and so on)? 

Hence we never know: it all depends on the judge. So Pakatan Rakyat should file their Election Petitions and, for sure, contest the ones filed by Umno and Barisan Nasional. At worst, even if Pakatan Rakyat does not win, they can prove to the world that they do have the evidence of electoral fraud. And if the evidence were strong enough the judge would not dare rule against Pakatan Rakyat.

We always talk about cases that the opposition lost and then we accuse the judiciary of being corrupt. We never list down those cases that we won -- and which are as many as or more than the ones we lost (the opposition has won all the illegal assembly cases thus far since 1998). I personally know some of these judges and not all are slime-balls and scumbags. Some of them are actually very decent and God-fearing people.

Nevertheless, after saying that, it is your luck as to which judge you come up against. You may get a good judge or you may get a bad judge.

On the news report that 28 opposition leaders are being investigated for sedition, now we can see why the police suddenly did a U-turn and allowed the rally last night to proceed after initially declaring it an illegally assembly and warning everyone to stay away from the venue.

This morning I checked with my deep throat to find out what was going on. First of all, they allowed the rally to go on to see how many people would turn up. It seems the seating capacity of the stadium is only 25,000 and if you include the field then it should come to a total or 35,000-40,000.

The pro-opposition websites say that 100,000-150,000 people turned up. That could be true, I will not dispute that, but I would never enter a stadium built for 25,000 if 150,000 people are squeezed into that stadium. That stadium would become a death trap.

I have personally seen what happens when you over-pack people into an area meant for half that crowd (like in Mekah, Mina, etc). Hence even 50,000 in the Kelana Jaya Stadium would be a huge risk. In the event of panic or a stampede, many are going to get trampled to death. And all you need is a small explosive device for the panic to start.

Did the organisers buy public liability insurance? Did they scan all the bags being brought in to the stadium? Did they scan the people entering the stadium? How sure were you that there were no agent provocateurs in the crowd who would trigger something? In short, how good was the security last night?

Luckily Najib Tun Razak is the Prime Minister. If I were the Prime Minister I would send my people in there with a bomb to create havoc and make sure that some people die. Then there would have been a lot of anger against Pakatan Rakyat for its poor security. Furthermore, I can then declare an emergency and suspend Parliament and the State Assemblies. And once I rule by martial law I can make changes that only a two-thirds majority in Parliament can.

But I suppose Najib is not as cruel as I am. A good thing I am not the Prime Minister or else Saddam Hussein will appear like Gandhi by comparison. (Oh, don't sound so shocked. Everything is fair in love and war. And if you can't stand the heat then get out of the kitchen.)

Secondly, they allowed the rally to go on so that the various speakers can utter 'seditious' statements. Then they can be investigated and possibly charged for sedition. And if they were found guilty they would have to vacate their seats and we would see many seats going for a by-election.

According to my deep throat, many intelligence officers were amongst the crowd last night and the feedback from them is that 80% of the crowd was Chinese and mostly young urban Malaysians mainly from the Kelang Valley area. Hence it was basically an 'already converted' crowd, Pakatan Rakyat diehards. What the government was worried about is that the crowd would be 80% Malay -- which would dispel what the government is saying: that Sunday was a Chinese Tsunami.

TO BE CONTINUED

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5月5之後(一)

在大選結果一被正式承認的儅兒,民聯就應該立馬向法庭提出上訴並且同時收集證據。巫統和囯陣絕對會這樣做(至少登嘉樓巫統會),而如果他們真的嬴的話那民聯將會失去一些議席。

原文:Raja Petra Kamarudin

譯文:方宙

警方將會召見有份參與昨晚格拉納在也體育館人民之聲集會的28名出席者。他們當中包括數位當晚有演講的反對黨領袖。

雪州縂警長Datuk Tun Hisan Tun Hamzah表示,警方將引用1948年煽動法第4(1)條文召見這些人士以協助調查。

***************************************************

昨晚集會的主要目的是向選舉委員會施壓,迫使他們宣佈5月5的大選無效。如果他們真的低頭的話,那這將是大馬史上第一個無效大選。但,大馬憲法裏有這樣的規定嗎?

一個令我們很擔憂進而與政府抗爭的原因是因爲我們的憲法不被尊重;這是我們抗爭的其中一個主軸。這就是爲什麽我盡量避免作出太越權(ulta vires)的事(還記得卡巴星因形容霹靂蘇丹'越權'而被提控嗎?)

在大選結果一被正式承認的儅兒,民聯就應該立馬向法庭提出上訴並且同時收集證據。巫統和囯陣絕對會這樣做(至少登嘉樓巫統會),而如果他們真的嬴的話那民聯將會失去一些議席。

你可以講說大馬司法是不公平的,但請記得反對黨曾多次在東馬與檳城(旺姐的Permatang Pauh 議席就是一個例子)贏得上訴。我也曾在2001與08年獲得我的人身保護令,安華不也是贏了兩次肛交官司和其他官司嗎?

所以說世事無絕對的,全看那個法官是誰。民聯應該向法庭提出上訴跟囯陣打官司,如果他們輸的話,那至少他們可以把選舉舞弊的證據公諸於世。而如果他們的證據充足的話,那法官肯定不敢偏私。

我們只會去談那些反對黨輸掉的官司,再來大罵司法不公,但我們從來沒有去列出反對黨勝利的例子。他們勝出的與輸掉的其實是同樣多的(自1998年起他們從沒輸過非法集會的官司)。我自己本身有認識一些法官,他們並非全都是混蛋人渣,他們當中有人其實是很有道德和敬畏上帝的。

話雖如此,這些到頭來是很看運氣的:看你踫到的法官是誰。你可能踫到一個好法官,你也可能踫到一個坏法官。

以上的新聞講到會有28名反對黨領袖被控煽動;我們現在可以看到爲什麽警方在之前宣佈其集會是非法,但後來又來個大U-轉讓集會進行了。

剛才早上我和我的深喉打聽消息,看看這到底是怎麽一回事。原來他們准許的第一原因是想看看到底會有多少人出席。那個體育館的座位有2万5千個,如果草場中間站滿人的話那整個體育館的容量是35000-40000人,但親反對黨網站說昨晚有10万-15万個人。那可能是真的,我不會去反駁,但我本身絕對不會去和15万人擠進一個只能容納2万5千人的體育館;那個體育館絕對是個死亡陷阱啊!

我自己本身曾親眼見過人潮200%過度擁擠的後果(如聖城麥加等)。所以格拉納在也體育館容下5万人其實是很危險的了,如果發生恐慌事件或人踩人意外的話,那很多人將會被踩死,而你只需要一個小型炸彈就能令出席者感到恐慌。

舉辦單位買保險了嗎?他們有沒有徹底檢查所有人的包包?他們怎樣知道有沒有'臥底'混了進來製造問題?簡單一點來説,昨晚的保安作得怎樣?

幸虧納吉是我國首相,如果我是首相的話,我會派人拿個炸彈在裏面引爆來製造死人的浩劫,然後就會有很多人把矛頭指向民聯,說他們沒有做好保安。再者,我可以宣佈我國正式進入緊急狀態,屆時我就可以瓦解國會和州會以戒嚴法令治國,令我可以如奪得2/3國會議席般隨心所欲地修改國家法令。

我想納吉並沒我這樣殘忍,而辛好我也不是首相,不然的話你們會看到薩達姆重生(是的,請別感到驚訝,在愛情與戰爭裏,所有東西都是平等的;如果你受不了熱氣的話那請別待在廚房裏。)

他們准許集會的第二個原因是要引誘那些給出煽動的演講,那樣他們就能展開調查再把那些演講者控上法庭。如果那些領袖真的都入罪的話,那他們得放棄他們的席位,然後我們就會看到很多補選。

根據我的深喉,昨晚有很多情報人員混進了集會裏。他們的報告是有80%的出席者都是華人和住在巴生一代的年輕人,所以説昨晚出席的都是民聯的'死忠'支持者。而政府所擔心的情況是80%的出席者都是馬來人----因爲那將粉粹政府的'華人海嘯'理論。

(敬請期待下一篇文章)

 

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Race politics may stunt reforms

Posted: 08 May 2013 12:38 PM PDT

Sunday's divisive election is likely to hamper Najib's drive to reform the economy and cut back on the affirmation policy. 

(Reuters) - Malaysia's racially divisive election result has sparked a battle within the country's ruling party that is likely to slow Prime Minister Najib Razak's drive to reform the economy and roll back policies favoring majority ethnic Malays.

Najib's Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition retained power in Sunday's election . But the coalition lost the popular vote and turned in its worst-ever electoral performance as it was heavily abandoned by the minority Chinese and rejected by many voters of all races in urban areas.

Najib was quick to blame the outcome on the swing by Chinese voters to the opposition alliance, putting a racial interpretation on the result that has struck a chord with traditionalists in his United Malays National Organisation (Umno).

Umno, which dominates Barisan, now faces a leadership election in October or November that is likely to be fought between traditional and reformist wings.

"The ideological lines have been drawn within Umno," said Khairy Jamuluddin, a reformist who heads the party's youth wing, in a posting on Twitter. "Game on."

Any major reforms are likely to be postponed until the leadership is decided, although Najib has said he will push for national "reconciliation" and press ahead with a $444 billion economic masterplan aimed at attracting investment and doubling incomes by 2020.

Conservatives have blamed ethnic polarization and Chinese "disloyalty" while reformists have urged Najib to expand steps to make Umno more inclusive beyond its base of poor, rural Malays.

Utusan Malaysia, a newspaper controlled by Umno, sought to portray Sunday's election result in racial terms, with one headline saying: "What more do the Chinese want?"

Malaysia's former and longest-serving prime minister, Mahathir Mohamad, a powerful figure in Umno, was quoted by local media as saying "ungrateful Chinese" and "greedy Malays" were to blame for the result.

"It may be the starting shot of what's to come for Najib," Ooi Kee Beng, deputy director of Singapore's Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, said of conservative reactions to the result. "At the same time, I think he is their (Umno's) best asset despite everything."

Fraud

Najib also has to deal with a strong opposition that is claiming that Barisan won the election through fraud. On Wednesday, tens of thousands of opposition activists thronged a stadium on the outskirts of the capital Kuala Lumpur in response to a call from opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim.

"This is merely the beginning of the battle between the people and an illegitimate, corrupt and arrogant government," Anwar, a former deputy prime minister, told the crowd, many of whom wore black to symbolize mourning.

Najib, the 59-year-old son of a former prime minister, had far higher approval ratings than his party in the run-up to the election and has few obviously strong rivals to replace him.

Taking power in 2009, he staked his fortunes on reforms aimed at spurring growth, increasing transparency and dismantling affirmative action policies.

But Najib's ambitions have been curbed by conservative interests within Umno. He has failed to come up with major steps to roll back the ethnic privileges that are seen as having benefited an elite of well-connected Malays more than the poor majority.

The government does not provide an ethnic breakdown of the population, but Malays make up about 60 percent of the 28 million people, while Chinese comprise more than 25 percent. The country also has a significant minority of ethnic Indians.

Barisan won 133 seats in the 222-member parliament, but only 47 percent of the popular vote, compared to the opposition's 50 percent.

"The polarization in this voting trend worries the government," Najib said. "We are afraid that if this is allowed to continue, it will create tensions."

But Barisan has also come in for criticism from younger voters for corruption and patronage politics that critics say have been the hallmark of its 56 years in power.

Liew Chin Tong, an opposition member of parliament from the southern state of Johor, said Najib appeared to be taking the wrong message from the election result.

"It was not just the Chinese who swung against Barisan Nasional. There were many young first-time and second-time voters who voted against the BN," he told Reuters.

Najib now looks more vulnerable to traditionalists in his party who are opposed to his tentative steps to phase out the policies that favor ethnic Malays, introduced two years after traumatic race riots in 1969.

Those policies have been a pillar of Umno's support but have been a prime cause of ethnic Chinese and Indian alienation and investors say they stunt growth and investment in Southeast Asia's third-largest economy.

Najib's efforts to roll back these policies and other politically sensitive reforms – such as the introduction of a consumption tax to reduce Malaysia's dependence on oil revenues and lowering fuel and food subsidies to tackle a chronic budget deficit – could be put on the backburner for now.

"The outlook for direct investment will remain uncertain until it becomes clearer whether or not Najib's reform-minded policies will continue," HSBC economists said in a note after the result.

The opposition's Liew said Najib's choices of cabinet members in the coming days would be a crucial indication of whether his new government would try to appeal across ethnic groups or only to its Malay base.

"His comments on the Chinese is rhetoric," Liew said. "What we need to see is who he will include in his cabinet. Will it be made up of Umno extremists or younger members from the middle ground? We also have to see if he will include the Chinese."

 

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Azmin to tell all on Permatang Pauh by-election, party leadership

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:48 PM PDT

(The Sun Daily) - PKR deputy president Azmin Ali will make an expose regarding the party tomorrow. However, he did not elaborate on the expose, saying that it concerned the by-election in Permatang Pauh and the strength of the party leadership in Selangor and at the federal level.

"I will explain tomorrow what took place in the Permatang Pauh by-election. It is not about Azmin Ali or (Abdul) Khalid (Ibrahim). I don't want a lame duck to be the Selangor MB," he told the press at the party's headquarters today.

He stopped short of saying he should be the new mentri besar.

He said a strong mentri besar will not be dictated to by other parties in pursuing policies and in leading the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) forward.

"We received a strong mandate not only in Selangor but at the federal level. The people need a stronger leadership. I want a strong MB to represent PKR and PR in Selangor," he said.

Azmin in his tweets last night seemed to criticise PKR adviser Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim for organising a people's rally on Wednesday night.

One tweet, which indirectly asked Anwar not to drag the people into the rally following his failed bid to take over Putrajaya, was sent out as Anwar addressed a rally in Kelana Jaya to protest the outcome of the polls.

In another tweet, Azmin said the calls for "reformasi" should start from within himself.

"Gagal ke Putrajaya. Salah siapa? Ikuti penjelasan dalam masa terdekat. (Failure to go to Putrajaya. Whose fault is it? Wait for the explanation soon)," said Azmin in another tweet.

Azmin said his tweets were directed to everyone and not Anwar alone.

"I am not a yes man. I need to speak up. This is a reform party.

"I'm not saying the rally is not necessary. I will support it if there is a need but for now, let us compile the election complaints to present credible evidence to the Election Commission. They must respond to it.

"We do not want nepotism to breed in PKR. Enough is enough," he added.

 

Azmin Ali not giving in, says MB should not be "lame duck"

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:45 PM PDT

(The Star) - The next Mentri Besar of Selangor should not be a "lame duck" who allows himself to be led by others, said PKR deputy president Azmin Ali.

The lame duck reference is seen as an indirect hit at Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim who has been endorsed by DAP and PAS for the top post.

In the past, Azmin has been reported to be upset at being overlooked for the mentri besar's post.

Speaking to reporters at the PKR headquarters after meeting Selangor PKR leaders, Azmin said Selangor should be led by someone decisive and with a clear vision, given that Pakatan Rakyat won the general election by an overwhelming majority of 40 seats against Barisan Nasional's 12 seats.

Azmin, re-elected as Gombak MP and Bukit Antrabangsa assemblyman in Sunday's polls, said he would "reveal all" about the state of affairs in the party at a press conference on Friday.

He intends to address the issue of nepotism in PKR and what happened during the Permatang Pauh by-election in 2008.

 

 

Azmin slams Pakatan

Posted: 08 May 2013 02:23 PM PDT

Azmin Ali criticises Pakatan Rakyat for getting the people involved in their failure to capture Putrajaya during GE13.

Lisa J. Ariffin, FMT

PKR deputy president Azmin Ali yesterday criticised Pakatan Rakyat for getting the rakyat involved in their failure to capture Putrajaya during the recent general election.

Azmin, who was noticibly absent from Pakatan's rally in Kelana Jaya last night, criticised his coalition for "dragging the rakyat into our own failure".

"The cry for reform has to start as a whisper within our own hearts. Don't drag the rakyat into our own failure," Azmin said yesterday in a tweet.

"The rakyat are tired with politics that are over the top. Accept results. Scrutinise yourself. Admit weaknesses. Move forward. Focus on the rakyat, not yourselves," he added.

The outspoken politician has since received scores of praise from Twitter users, including Pakatan supporters, one which said: "You are our new hope".

"Accept the people's choice. Move forward with policies that put them (the rakyat) first, not bully them using the country's peace and stability," said Azmin, a very close confidant of PKR chief Anwar Ibrahim.

He also promised to reveal the causes of Pakatan's failure in near future.

"The failure to capture Putrajaya. Whose fault is it really? Follow my explanations soon."

Azmin is also believed to be eyeing the Selangor menteri besar's post, wanting to replace Khalid Ibrahim who has the support of both PAS and DAP to retain the top post.

The tussle for the MB post between the two is said to have caused a major problem within the party, leaving Anwar ina dilemma on who to back.

Azmin meanwhile is expected to hold a press conference tomorrow.

READ MORE HERE

 

Ku Li - Umno must reform or risk being alienated

Posted: 08 May 2013 02:02 PM PDT

(The Star) -  The country's longest serving parliamentarian has urged Umno to quickly reform itself or face the prospect of being booted out of the Government when the next general election comes around.

Umno veteran Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah, who on Sunday became the Gua Musang MP for the 11th time, said the new electorate of the young, professionals and women were clamouring for changes in how the country was being managed.

"It will therefore be logical to accept their demands and change accordingly or risk alienating oneself more," said Tengku Razaleigh, who was a former Umno vice-president and finance minister.

The 73-year-old Kelantan prince won the Gua Musang parliamentary seat in the 13th general election despite facing stiff competition from PAS former strategist Datuk Wan Abdul Rahim Wan Abdullah.

Tengku Razaleigh said voters were no longer afraid of past taboos, such as racialism or being asked to be grateful for the peace and security in the country.

"The new voters want more say in how the country is governed and they also cannot tolerate poor governance and corruption.

"The country is experiencing a generational shift and this means that the electorate's expectations have also changed to suit the young and the educated," he said.

"To turn a blind eye to such changes will be foolish."

Tengku Razaleigh also urged those who were dissatisfied with the outcome of the elections to air their grievances via the proper channels of negotiations or meetings and not resort to street protests.

 

Khalid set to stay on as Selangor mentri besar

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:56 PM PDT

(The Star) - Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim looks set to stay on as Selangor mentri besar for a second term with DAP and PAS leaders expressing their support for him.

In expressing his support for Khalid, DAP secretary-general Lim Guan Eng said he had performed well in his first term as mentri besar and as Selangor election director in the recently concluded general election.

"Khalid should continue as mentri besar after leading Pakatan to a resounding victory in the recent elections by winning a two-thirds majority with 44 out of 56 state seats, up from 36 seats previously.

"Although DAP won 15 seats, PAS 15 and PKR 14, Khalid should be recognised for his integrity and stewardship of Selangor.

"Selangor DAP is also in full support of Khalid," he said in a statement here yesterday.

PAS secretary-general Datuk Mustafa Ali also backed Khalid to remain as mentri besar.

"PAS never asked for the position and we have no intention of doing so. We have decided to maintain (Khalid). Wait for the announcement in a week's time," he told a Malay daily.

Former DAP state exco member Ronnie Liu, who worked alongside Khalid for five years, gave a glowing review of his performance as mentri besar.

"He is very clean, honest and professional. And he is very clear with managing public funds," said Liu, who did not contest in the May 5 polls.

"He has his own views but he never imposes them on others. Should Khalid remain as mentri besar? Certainly. He has my undivided support," said Liu.

Bukit Tunku assemblyman Lau Weng San also said that Khalid should continue to lead the state government.

Describing Khalid as "stern and steady", Lau said the former corporate giant had handled crises in a professional manner.

"And he is also very strict. If you want to persuade him to change his mind, you need to talk to him with facts and figures," he said.

 

Group voters according to age not race, PAS tells EC

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:47 PM PDT

Zurairi AR, TMI

PAS today urged the Election Commission (EC) to group voters according to age and not race, to stop political discourse from revolving around racial lines in the future.

Up until Election 2013, the statistics for each seats contested in the polls have always included the racial breakdown of voters in the constituency according to their ethnic groups.

"It is time for an overhaul, with the EC releasing voter breakdown according to age or sex as the official data distributed to the media and the public," said PAS information chief Tuan Ibrahim Tuan Man (picture).

"Racial breakdown data does not need to be released unless there is a need for it."

According to Tuan Ibrahim, grouping voters using age or sex will automatically ensure that political campaigns are centred around racially inclusive policies, and stop politicians from fanning racial and religious sentiments to garner votes.

The just-concluded Election 2013 saw the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) pact recapture federal power but with an even slimmer majority than in Election 2008, winning only 133 seats to Pakatan Rakyat's 89 in the 222-seat Parliament.

In the aftermath of a slim BN win in Sunday's polls, the coalition's chairman Datuk Seri Najib Razak termed the results a "Chinese tsunami", even saying that if not handled carefully the nation could see days of unrest ahead.

Adding salt to an already festering wound, Umno-owned daily Utusan Malaysia published on its front page on Tuesday an article headlined "Apa lagi Cina mahu? (What else do the Chinese want?)", a phrase which has turned viral on the Internet's social sphere. 

The newspaper came immediately under fire and angry netizens and politicians across the political divide railed against Najib and Umno for allowing the media to run riot with such incendiary headlines.

But despite the criticisms, Najib came to the paper's defence and even appeared to blame the DAP, claiming the predominantly Chinese opposition party had misled the Chinese into greater racial polarisation by making them think that voting the party would lead to a change of government.

 

DAP calls for ‘one-man, one-vote’ polls reforms

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:43 PM PDT

Boo Su-Lyn, TMI

The electoral system should be reformed to allow a government to be elected based on the popular vote, DAP secretary-general Lim Guan Eng said today.

He pointed out that although Pakatan Rakyat (PR) won the popular vote at 51 per cent in Election 2013, Barisan Nasional (BN) had formed federal government by winning 60 per cent of the 222 federal seats.

"PR winning 51 per cent of the popular vote, yet only 40 per cent of the parliamentary seats, cries out for genuine polls reforms that respects the 'one-man, one-vote principle' to save democracy," Lim (picture) said in a statement.

"Malaysians who voted by a clear majority for PR over BN would see the results as perverse in that BN lost the popular vote won government, whilst PR won the popular vote lost power. This is black becoming white and white becoming black," he added.

The Penang chief minister noted that PR had won 5.6 million votes, surpassing BN's 5.2 million votes by 386,000 votes.

The last time an Umno-led coalition lost the popular vote was in 1969, then contested by BN's predecessor, the Alliance Party.

BN's tally in the 13th general election was slashed to 133 federal seats, just 21 seats above the 112 seats required to win federal power. 

The coalition was saved largely through Sabah, Sarawak and Johor that formed a significant portion of the seats it won. 

Gerrymandering, which is the manipulation of electoral boundaries, has allowed BN to win many small rural seats, while PR needed to win a large number of votes in an urban seat in contrast.

Election watchdog Tindak Malaysia said last April that one rural voter was worth an average of six urban voters, based on the way electoral boundaries were drawn.

The Putrajaya federal seat, for example, has 15,791 voters, compared to Kapar that has nine times the number of voters at 144,159.

Opposition Leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim led a mass rally in Petaling Jaya last night to protest against alleged vote-rigging in Election 2013 that he said enabled BN to win federal power.

Tens of thousands flooded the MBPJ Stadium in Kelana Jaya yesterday, dressed mostly in black to symbolise the "death" of democracy.

 

Vote-rigging helped BN win Putrajaya, Kit Siang tells rally

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:21 PM PDT

Boo Su-Lyn, The Malaysian Insider

Barisan Nasional (BN) would not have retained federal power if Election 2013 was free and fair, DAP veteran Lim Kit Siang told a mass rally of tens of thousands last night.

Some 50,000, dressed mostly in black, packed Stadium MBPJ in Kelana Jaya here to the rafters at Pakatan Rakyat's (PR) rally against electoral fraud, shouting "Ubah" (Change) and "Reformasi" (Reformation) throughout the night.

"BN has 133 seats. Minus 30, they're left with 103. Does he still qualify to continue to be prime minister?" roared Lim, referring to Datuk Seri Najib Razak.

"No!" the multi-racial crowd yelled in response, as they sounded air horns and cheered.

In Lim's prepared speech emailed earlier to the media yesterday, he noted "serious irregularities" in about 30 federal seats, including Labis, Tapah, Segamat and Bentong that BN had won. 

BN saw its simple majority slashed to 133 federal seats in the 13th general election, just 21 seats above the 112 minimum seats required to form government. The hotly-contested polls have been tainted with claims of vote-buying, phantom voters and flawed indelible ink that rubbed off easily.

The smell of sweat and exhilaration filled the air as thousands thronged the stadium to protest against vote-rigging and the legitimacy of the BN government, just three days after Sunday's polls. 

Shouts of "SPR tipu!" (Election Commission cheated) and "Tumbang BN" (BN must fall) shook the stadium amid the constant blowing of air horns. Despite the crowd, thousands more struggled to enter the stadium until those squeezed at the entrance had to shout at incoming people to back off. 

The roads surrounding Kelana Jaya were snarled with traffic, with many parking their cars along the LDP highway and walking to the stadium from the Kelana Jaya LRT station under a light shower.

Lim, who was dressed in black, also pointed out last night that BN lost the popular vote — the first time since 1969 that was then contested by BN's predecessor, the Alliance Party.

"It's a Malaysian tsunami," said the Gelang Patah MP, refuting Najib's claims that BN's losses were caused by a "Chinese tsunami".

"With the politics of the future, racial politics and corruption will be gone," he added, rousing cheers and applause.

Some people carried "We are not racist" placards, as several Umno politicians and newspapers owned by the BN lynchpin continue to attack the Chinese as an "ungrateful" bunch.

Najib has insisted on a Chinese swing in Election 2013, dismissing analysts that noted an exodus of middle-class and urban voters from BN, instead of just wide-scale Chinese desertion.

READ MORE HERE

 

Opposition 'robbed' of 'nearly 30 seats': Anwar

Posted: 08 May 2013 12:57 PM PDT

(ST) - Malaysian opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim questioned the legitimacy of the newly sworn Najib Razak government in the country saying that the recently concluded elections robbed the opposition of nearly 30 seats.

"There is a major question over (Prime Minister) Najib's legitimacy. Should we just accept the fraud and recognise the new government of BN?" Mr Anwar told a cheering crowd of thousands of supporters at the Kelana Jaya Stadium on Wednesday.

"We will prove that there are no less than 30 seats that we are robbed of," he said.

Thousands, dressed in black, had poured into a stadium for a rally to protest against the opposition's defeat at last Sunday's polls, despite warnings by police to stay away.

Ahead of the rally, the Malaysian government had warned that the gathering was a move "calculated to create unrest".

But despite the rain, thousands filled the stands to hear Mr Anwar speak for the first time since his Pakatan Rakyat alliance lost the election.

"We will go to every part of the country to show we have the support of the people."

‘Rallies, protests won’t change GE13 results’

Posted: 08 May 2013 12:51 PM PDT

Election Commission chief Abdul Aziz Yusof claimed only an Election Court decision declaring the election result "null and void" could alter the polls outcome.

(FMT) - Protests or rallies will not be able to change the result of 13th general election (GE13) or cause it to be held again, said Election Commission chairman Abdul Aziz Mohd Yusuf in a radio interview yesterday.

He said the available option for unhappy candidate is to apply for a review of the result by making a petition after the result is gazetted in accordance with the law.

"After the result is gazetted, he has 21 days to file a petition and if there is proof and the judge admitted the existence of corruption, fraud or illegal acts, the Election Court judge will declare the election result invalid.

"Only then a re-election will be called. A rally such as the one tonight (Pakatan rally last night) will not change anything," he said when interviewed by Radio24 yesterday.

Pakatan Rakyat held the rally at Kelana Jaya Stadium last night to show their dissatisfaction with the result of GE13 held on Sunday.

Abdul Aziz said despite issues such as indelible ink, phantom voters and power blackout, GE13 was clean and orderly and the EC was not involved in helping any party to win.

"I would say that GE13 was fair. The winner did not receive EC's help while the loser was not because EC did not help. The votes of registered voters determined the winner and the loser."

Based on EC records, the highest number of petitions on GE results were 40 in 1999, 30 in 2004 and 26 in 2008, despite the 'tsunami' unfavourable to Barisan Nasional (BN).

 

The unavoidable problems after the election

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:55 AM PDT

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How are they going to resolve the problems? How are they going to appease those affected? How are they going to strike a balance? 

Lim Mun Fah, Sin Chew Daily 

After the election, the winners enjoy no honeymoon period, while the losers have immediately plunged into a plight.

Umno is the biggest winner, while the DAP is also a winner. The MCA, Gerakan, SUPP are all losers. As for the PKR and PAS, they enjoy half victory and suffer half defeat.

Undercurrents filled with disputes are expected in the following party elections.

Let's talk about Umno first. The confrontation between the hawks and doves within the leading BN component party is expected to be intensified due to the election result. In addition, although the party has won the election, it is now facing a difficult situation. A cabinet without Chinese representatives from the MCA and Gerakan would be a crippled cabinet. How is it going to face the people? How is it going to face the international community?

Both the MCA and Gerakan have decided not to accept any Cabinet posts. It seems righteous and sorrowful, but just like the suicide of Xiang Yu, a prominent military leader and political figure in the late Qin Dynasty, it is always disputable whether it is an act of a hero, or a coward.

Some people said that Xiang Yu might be able to revive and the history might change if he did not commit suicide. Unfortunately, he pursued a road with no way back.

However, it is the case in history. Once it is done, there will be no turning back.

Therefore, at this historical juncture, should Datuk Seri Dr Chua Soi Lek, as the MCA's head, insist on not taking any cabinet posts and lead the party into a situation with no future, or reflect, learn from his mistakes and call for an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) to turn the crisis into an opportunity so that they can ponder over how they should revive the party?

Disputes have been expected and Chua is now facing pressure calling him to step down. The MCA has inevitably entered a troubled period and it all depends on itself to survive the crisis.

Next, let's talk about MCA's old rival, the DAP. Although the DAP has gained a big victory by winning 38 parliamentary seats, it still shares Pakatan Rakyat's failure in taking over Putrajaya and the political deadlock in which most Malays are supporting the ruling coalition while most Chinese are supporting the opposition. In fact, it has also caught in a myth of how it should reset its political position. The more than 80% Chinese votes have reflected the Chinese high expectation on the DAP. It is indeed a driving force, but at the same time, also a heavy pressure. After the regime change target ended up in failure, how should it lead the Chinese, who are now having no idea of what course to follow or to take, out of the current political deadlock? What is the road map for the Chinese? These are no longer problems that can be solved with election slogans.

In addition, a number of incumbent lawmakers who were not fielded by the party's leadership had contested as independent candidates. Although most of them eventually dropped out from the contest, it has still exposed the deteriorating factional problems of the DAP. In particular, the contradictions between Johor and Malacca party leaderships and the central leadership led by Lim Guan Eng has surfaced. How are they going to resolve the problems? How are they going to appease those affected? How are they going to strike a balance? These are unavoidableproblems within the DAP after the big victory.

As for PAS and the PKR, they have respectively lost one and two parliamentary seats, causing the hope of regime change to end up in frustration. What are the reasons behind the failure? How should they fight for more Malay votes? These questions should be studied by the two parties. If the retirement of Datuk Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat means that PAS has entered a new era of metabolism, should the PKR follow suits and enter a post-Anwar era, too? Who can replace him?

After the passion, it is time for us to calm down and rationally face the future!

 

Accept the people's verdict, says Azmin

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:52 AM PDT

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(NST) - Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR) deputy president Azmin Ali last night posted several hard-hitting tweets in a veiled attack against his leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.

The tweets, including one indirectly asking Anwar not to drag the people in his failed attempt to take over Putrajaya, came as Anwar addressed a rally in Kelana Jaya to question the general election outcome.
 
In another tweet, Azmin said the calls for reformasi should start with one whispering it within himself.
 
"Gagal ke Putrajaya. Salah siapa ? Ikuti penjelasan dalam masa terdekat. (Failure to go to Putrajaya. Whose fault is it? Wait for the explanation soon)," said Azmin in another tweet.
 
Azmin said the people were getting fed up with aggressive politics.
 
"Accept the punishment. Acknowledge your weaknesses. Progress forward.
 
"Accept the verdict of the people. Move forward while focusing on policies which benefit the people and not those which bully them."
 
The rally was held to reject the results of some some seats despite Pakatan Rakyat winning three states - Selangor, Penang and Kelantan.
 
Anwar, in his speech at the rally, said that many were upset with the election results and claimed that their victory was stolen by BN.
 
Also present include DAP's Lim Kit Siang and Penang chief minister Lim Guan Eng.
 
Meanwhile, former Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad said he had predicted the rally would happen and had written about it in his blog.
 
"I wrote that the first Bersih and Bersih 2.0 was just a preliminary to a protest after election if they lose. If they did not lose, they will not be protesting.
 
"This is typical (losing behaviour) in trying to pressure the government and create problems," he said during a press conference after attending a Malaysian Harbour Pilots Association dinner in Shah Alam last night.


 

Terengganu Umno to file petition over seats lost by slim majority

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:44 AM PDT

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(NST) - Terengganu Umno will file petitions with the Election Commission (EC) over seven state seats which it lost by less than 1,000 votes.

Its Secretary Datuk Tengku Putera Tengku Awang said all political parties have the right to protest and file petitions with the Election Commission (EC) concerning doubts over the election result.

He said Barisan Nasional (BN) had lost in seven state seats by less than 1,000 votes.

In Teluk Pasu (Kuala Nerus), Datuk Abdul Rahin Mohd Said lost to Ridzuan Hashim from Pas by  only 109 votes, Datuk Zaabar Mohd Adib lost in Rantau Abang (Dungun) by 144 votes, Mohamad Ramli Nuh was defeated in Tepuh (Kuala Nerus) by 229 votes, Ismail Nik lost in Bukit Tunggal (Kuala Nerus) by 652 votes, Alias Abdullah in Alor Limbat (Marang) by 645 votes and Datuk Wan Ahmad Farid in Ladang (Kuala Terengganu) by 924 votes.

Tengku Putera said there are also doubts about the Kuala Nerus parliamentary seat result.

"Datuk Mohd Nasir Ibrahim Fikri was defeated by only 610 votes in Kuala Nerus when we had lost in three of the four state seats under it," he said.

However, Tengku Putera said the state Umno has yet to hold any discussion or official meeting regarding the matter.

On Monday, Terengganu Pas deputy commissioner  Satiful Bahri Mamat's statement said  Pas was collecting evidence before filing petitions to the EC following their defeat in four state seats with less than 1,000 votes.

The seats are Kuala Berang (Hulu Terengganu) where Tengku Putera won by 449 votes, Jabi (Setiu) with 782 votes, Kemasek (Kemaman ) with 896 votes and Jerteh (Besut) where Pas lost by 930 votes.



 

Thousands pack Kelana Jaya stadium for Pakatan rally

Posted: 08 May 2013 11:42 AM PDT

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(TMI) - Some 50,000, mostly dressed in black, have packed the Stadium MBPJ while thousands others are trying to get in for a rally for free and fair elections organised by Pakatan Rakyat (PR) Stadium MBPJ in Kelana Jaya near here tonight.

The evening shower caused traffic congestion but most of the crowd dropped off at the Kelana Jaya LRT station and walked to the stadium near the Subang Airport road.

Among those speaking at the rally are opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim and DAP strongman Lim Kit Siang.

Anwar arrived after 10pm on a scooter and was greeted with loud roars that echoed through the stadium by the crowd who chanted "Kami Anak Malaysia". Thousands dressed in black have packed the stands and also the football pitch in the stadium.

"This is the beginning of a battle between the rakyat and an illegitimate, corrupt, and arrogant government," the PKR de facto leader told the crowd.

Traffic remains backed up around Kelana Jaya right up to the NPE toll plaza near Sunway

Anwar arriving to the rally on a scooter. - Picture taken from FacebookEarlier, PKR strategy director Rafizi Ramli told the 50,000-odd crowd inside the stadium, "I am Malay, but I support Pakatan Rakyat."

Social media research group Politweet.org estimated the crowd size in and around the stadium at between 64,000 and 69,000, given that the stadium capacity is about 25,000.

There has been no police presence around the stadium until now.

In Marang, Terengganu, thousands are crowding PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang's Masjid Rusila for another rally, reports PAS news portal Harakahdaily.

Read more at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysia/article/thousands-pack-kelana-jaya-stadium-for-pakatan-rally 

 

Kredit: www.malaysia-today.net

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Malaysia's Najib: Jump or be Pushed

Posted: 08 May 2013 03:53 PM PDT

Election aftermath could soon claim its real loser, the current PM

"We advised Najib against pandering to Chinese unreasonable requests. He bent over backwards to the Chinese where those resources could have gone to other rural or bumi constituencies. Now UMNO wants Najib to take responsibility."

John Berthelsen, Asia Sentinel

Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, having been instrumental in driving his successor Abdullah Ahmad Badawi from power in 2009 after a poor electoral performance, now may be poised to try to do the same thing to the current prime minister, Najib Tun Razak.

It may depend on whether Najib jumps or is pushed, however. The premier is said to be disillusioned and discouraged and may leave the premiership at the United Malays National Organization annual general meeting in October, handing over power to the current vice president Muhyiddin Yassin, sources say - if he lasts that long. Najib led the Barisan Nasional to its lowest vote total since independence at 46.66 percent of the popular vote to the Pakatan Rakyat coalition's 50.1 percent, taking a diminished 133 seats in the parliament to Pakatan Rakyat's 89 - amid allegations of voter irregularities that put the Barisan over the top.

"I am told that Najib will hand over to Muhyiddin in October," a lawyer with close contacts to UMNO said. "The change may finally come but voluntarily between Najib and Muhyiddin. We'll have to let it play it out some more." 

That could foreshadow months of instability inside the UMNO leadership as a weakened Najib hangs on to power in the face of a wing of the party that wants to double down on the policies that have led to diminished returns in the last two elections. Toppling him now for Muhyiddin could well lead to costly party rifts, as it did in 2009 with the Badawi faction of the party. A change would probably signal that UMNO will steer to the conservative right, counterintuitive to what the electorate appears to have been saying. It was UMNO moderates such as Khairy Jamaluddin and Shahrir Samad who profited in the election while Malay nationalists Ibrahim Ali and Zulkifli Noordin were soundly defeated.

The Mahathir wing appears disdainful of Najib's 1Malaysia strategy, which calls for an emphasis on ethnic harmony and national unity. If anything, the 87-year-old former prime minister, with his sponsorship of the Malay nationalist NGO Perkasa, appears to be reverting to his days as a Malay firebrand that got him kicked out of UMNO for several years before he was reinstated by Najib's father, Tun Abdul Razak. 

However, Mahathir, a source said, "campaigned hard for Najib and the Barisan Nasional. The Doc (Mahathir) let Najib do what he wanted pretty much. Najib led UMNO with his Economic Transformation Program, Government Transformation Program, etc. Now that the results weren't good Najib has to take responsibility. Most importantly, I get the sense that Najib was completely devastated and doesn't want the job anymore. Furthermore, Muhyiddin can fight fire with fire against DAP's race campaign."

It thus remains to be seen if Najib's ETP and GTP programs, the cornerstone of his government policy, are at risk, emphasizing as they do competitive bidding instead of special privileges for ethnic Malays. Muhyiddin, although not as strident as other Malay nationalists, nonetheless is closer to Mahathir's line of thinking than many are comfortable with.

Read more at: http://www.asiasentinel.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=5401&Itemid=178 

 

Post-GE13: Where do we go from here?

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:32 PM PDT

Praba Ganesan, The Malaysian Insider

Most Malaysians want Pakatan Rakyat to rule the country. Until the next general election, Barisan Nasional (BN) will have to stomach this fact. Your mission, as the people or better said — the boss of this land — is to remind BN at every possible interval that that's the score, that's the reality. Fifty-two per cent of Malaysians want Pakatan Rakyat to govern.

The big question therefore is when will PRU-14 happen?

But before all that can we all stand up and applaud each other? Smile at your fellow citizen with pride and thank them for having the conviction in our democracy. Thank them for the love they have in abundance and willing to share.

Eighty-four per cent turnout at a GE is just phenomenal even if the 93 per cent show-up in some voting rooms (saluran) does give the eerie feeling that even the dead are not quite dead in Malaysia.

You gorgeous — living — people stood in the rain and sun, waited for your right without compromise and said to BN that we will not cower, we will not waver, and left with the message etched on the walls of the centres we voted in, that if we have to we will show up again to vote. The time to ignore us is over.

I'm writing here at Stadium Kelana Jaya as an expectant crowd builds up in the rain to hear Anwar Ibrahim speak for the first time at a rally after the polls.

EC has to do a Houdini

The Election Commission (EC) does not have a leg to stand on anymore. The indelible ink was a lie. In 2008 they said the ink's integrity was in doubt, so they did not use it. On Sunday, after eight years of debate, pleading, meetings, conventions and delegations, the EC showed that it truly don't really care what so many citizens want, a free and fair election.

Millions of key witnesses can bear testimony that the EC tried to deceive the public about the ink being indelible. It all washed and it washed off quick.

And five days prior to election, on the day of early votes, hundreds bold enough to speak out and risk their lifespan as men and women in uniform said the ink failed.

The EC pooh-poohed them and insisted that it was just about shaking the bottle more. The sheer arrogance of just telling everyone off was and still remains an alarming statement on the state of free and fair elections here.

Second, the postal and early votes gave only 10 per cent support to Pakatan. Even in 2008 it was 20-30 per cent and this time Pakatan was promised that the process will be improved in order to include media and overseas voters, and less coercion on the men in uniform and their family members.

But in the end a record low was registered. How? Are we to think that with less coercion, and an overwhelming number of Malaysians abroad already saying openly that they voted Pakatan and critical media employees, nine out of 10 of them voted for BN?

And more and more horror stories will be arriving and the EC it appears to me is buying time, hoping that my countrymen cannot remember or just get distracted with their own lives to realise that the body given the job to protect their democratic rights went to do the exact opposite. 

No explanation will do, and that the EC chief has not been sacked is proof that Najib Razak is not for free and fair elections.

He is prime minister, and the EC is under him not Parliament. He speaks of reconciliation, therefore he must back his statement by axing the man who failed the democratic needs of the people Najib governs now.

Time for Malaysian leadership, Najib.

READ MORE HERE

 

Why BN lost the urban votes

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:07 PM PDT

The reason that Chinese are more visible as a bloc is because Chinese Malaysians predominantly reside in urban areas. Urban sentiments are against BN, for reasons which I will touch on below, resulting in most Chinese voting for the opposition. But in rural areas like Kedah, I was told many Chinese voted for BN.

Hsu Dar Ren, The Malaysian Insider

In an earlier article, by way of simple mathematics, I showed that in fact more non-Chinese Malaysians voted against BN than Chinese Malaysians in the just concluded 13th general election.

It is true that the Chinese voted as a bloc, with an estimated 80 per cent for Pakatan Rakyat. But at most, because they are a minority, they can cause only a ripple, maybe a small wave, but never a tsunami.

It is because of the other urban Malaysians, such as the urban Malays in Batu, Shah Alam, Puchong, Lembah Pantai, Wangsa Maju and everywhere else who voted against BN that resulted in the mini tsunami.

The reason that Chinese are more visible as a bloc is because Chinese Malaysians predominantly reside in urban areas. Urban sentiments are against BN, for reasons which I will touch on below, resulting in most Chinese voting for the opposition. But in rural areas like Kedah, I was told many Chinese voted for BN.

Now that the election is over, the prime minister has talked about national reconciliation.

I welcome that. Yes, this is the time for reconciliation and healing, but to do so, first of all, we must stop all racial rhetoric and the blame game, and sit down and analyse why BN lost so much of ground in urban areas.

I will name a few reasons:

1. 1 Malaysia and Perkasa. While there was initially high hope for the PM's 1 Malaysia vision, it was very fast negated by the rise of right-wing extremists in Umno in the form of outsourced NGO Perkasa.

While ordinary people would be hauled up for small offences, big wigs in Perkasa go scot free and were perceived to be given a licence to utter racist and extreme views.

The free hand given to Perkasa and its patron negated the PM's effort to push for 1 Malaysia, which is a pity of course. In the minds of many urban people, 1 Malaysia has just become a slogan to be uttered loudly whenever there is a government event or in the presence of government leaders.

Thus, to many urban people the best result this time around was the defeat of racists such as Ibrahim Ali and Zulklifli Noordin, both of whom are seen to be linked to Dr Tun Mahathir Mohamad. The fact that they lost in predominantly Malay areas showed that even the Malays do not buy this type of extremism anymore. Their defeat should be something for BN and Umno to reflect deeply and seriously.

While BN accuses others of being racists, they should look in the mirror at themselves, and see why these racists were fielded and aided. It is akin to acknowledging that BN supports extremism. On top of that, there is Utusan Malaysia, which time and again carries extremist views but nothing was done to curb it.

While heads of some component parties of BN did come out with statements to condemn Perkasa and Utusan every time they uttered something extreme, they were seen to be inert in stopping these extremist views even with their so-called internal channels to the PM and BN supreme council. Their inertness was interpreted as total subservience to Umno's hegemony.

If they are seen to be subservient, then how can they be effective in representing the interest of urbanites, given that their seats were mainly in urban areas? To the urban people, these component parties have totally lost relevance by their inability to moderate such extremism and double standards.

Race-based politics is on the way out. To those who have access to the Internet, race is no more an issue. The Internet community is actually those who reside in urban and affluent suburban areas. The urban tsunami can therefore also be seen as the Tsunami of the Internet Community.

BN needs to be more farsighted and look beyond race. BN should really consider disbanding each individual component and merge into one big multiracial party without harping on Malay rights and supporting those who utter extremist religious views.

READ MORE HERE

 

Pakatan lost, but not defeated

Posted: 08 May 2013 01:01 PM PDT

Lim Sue Goan, Sin Chew

Although Pakatan Rakyat has failed to achieve the regime change target in the 13th general election, the next general election would be more favourable if it ploughs its political fields deeper in multiracial areas.

It seems that Pakatan Rakyat has suffered a setback and some of its leaders might not be able to sustain for another five years due to their age. The whole pattern, however, allows Pakatan Rakyat to expand its political map if the BN fails to implement more reforms.

First of all, Pakatan Rakyat obtained 51.4 per cent of popular vote while BN gained only 48.6 per cent. This is due to a wide voter population in some constituencies. As urbanisation has been accelerated, BN's advantage in rural areas would be gradually reduced.

Secondly, the number of young voters has increased.

There were 2.6 million new voters this year. Given this figure, in another five years, together with another group of new voters and a lower number of old voters, Pakatan Rakyat would still be in the favourable position.

Thirdly, Datuk Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat's retirement has reflected the emergence of young leaders in Pakatan Rakyat. 

BN would be unable to demarcate constituencies according to its own preference, including some states where it has lost the ruling advantage, after failing to gain a two-thirds majority in Parliament. In addition, BN must also find a way to fight for the support of urban voters, young voters and non-Malay voters, or it would not be able to make headway in the long run.

It is a normal phenomenon to have voices accusing Chinese voters after the election. However, racialising the election result is not conducive to BN's effort in restoring public confidence. It is believed that BN leaders who have a clear understanding of the overall situation would suppress the voices and continue the pace of democratisation.

From the election result, although the DAP is the big winner among the three component parties of Pakatan Rakyat, while PAS has suffered a setback, they did not lose their bases. Instead, they have gained more state seats in Penang, Kelantan and Selangor.

The three component parties of Pakatan Rakyat have their respective states and are expanding their influence to neighbouring areas. It is consistent with the idea of equal status. Theoretically, it will be difficult for BN to regain Penang and Selangor as long as Pakatan Rakyat is able to rule the states for two terms to consolidate its power.

The DAP won 10 more parliamentary seats while the PKR and PAS lost one and two seats respectively. It is a pity that liberal leaders in PAS have been defeated, like party deputy president Mohamad Sabu, vice-president Datuk Husam Musa and Salahuddin Ayub. However, with its strong grassroots PAS should be able to revive.

PAS's performance is not as good as expected mainly because it was defeated in Kedah. It lost five parliamentary seats in Kedah due to the return of votes to Umno, the previous PAS state government's poor governance and party internal problems.

It is favourable to Pakatan Rakyat as the political situation in some states has changed. For instance, Pakatan Rakyat won five parliamentary seats and 18 state seats in Johor, three parliamentary seats and 11 state seats in Sabah and four parliamentary seats and 12 state seats in Pahang, breaking the BN's deposit statehood. Pakatan Rakyat has also set off a wind of anti-establishment among the Kadazan, Dusun, and Murut communities in Sabah. At the same time, BN lost the two-thirds majority advantage and was able to win Terengganu and Perak by a narrow margin.

Therefore, Pakatan Rakyat has made a big improvement in Sunday's election. It should now play a supervisory role and professionally perform its task, while looking forward to the next general election.

If Pakatan Rakyat has evidence of electoral fraud, it should bring it to the courts and fight through legal channels. Reducing street protests will be more conducive to its efforts of securing support.

A healthy competition between the two coalitions would be a blessing for the country and its people.

 

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