Selasa, 16 April 2013

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PSM to decide

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 10:42 PM PDT

http://www.thenutgraph.com/user_uploads/images/2009/04/29/loga%20psm.jpg 

There is also an attempt to make PSM look unreasonable on its request to use its own logo in this coming GE. Let us put this now in perspective.
 
S.Arutchelvan, Secretary General PSM 
In the last 24 hours, there has been lots of queries and phone calls on the seat negotiation between PSM and PR. We would like to state that the PSM would be holding a an Emergency National Committee meeting to decide on a number of issues outlined below.

Besides that, there is also an attempt to make PSM look unreasonable on its request to use its own logo in this coming GE. Let us put this now in perspective.
 
1. PSM wanted to stand in the same seats it contested in 2008 as to maintain the status quo. The three seats stood by PSM in 2008 under PKR – Sg. Siput, Kota Damansara and Semenyih has never been contested by any PKR members before this. Therefore to claim that these are PKR seats and PSM is three cornering is totally wrong.

2. PSM has always stated that if there was a common PR logo, PSM would be willing to use it. This shows that PSM was never fussy on using only its logo but felt that it has the same democratic rights like other parties in PR to use their respective logos.

3. When we meet Datuk Sri Anwar Ibrahim on the 13th of April, several issues were discussed on a friendly manner. I put some critical points of dispute.

i. PKR wanted PSM to stand in both the Selangor seat using the PKR logo. PSM conceded to use PKR logo in Semenyih but said that PSM members will find it very difficult to ask the top leader of PSM Dr. Nasir Hashim not to use the PSM party logo. PSM members have fought for 11 years with the BN government for this logo and they felt that the PR should allow at least the PSM national Chairperson to stand on his party flag.  
ii. We were also shocked to learn that previously Dr. Jeyakumar was informed that he can stand under the PSM logo in Sungai Siput but during the discussion with DSAI, we were told that if he stands under PSM logo, then DAP will field a candidate against him.
iii. We were also told that even if PSM stand all three seats under PR logo, DAP will not allow PSM to stand in Jelapang. We requested that an NGO committee decide on the Jelapang seat and we will adhere to that.
iv. We were also told that if we win the seat as PKR logo, we can immediately use PSM logo upon winning here after. But again here, the same principles were not applied when PSM won 2 seats in 2008 and now we are given the same deal.
v. The meeting ended by us agreeing to talk to PSM members and DSAI saying that he will try to talk to other PR leaders on how to resolve this issue. Meanwhile DSAI mentioned that they may need to hold back the Selangor seat announcement until this issue is solved.
vi. The meeting ended with both parties trying to find a solution and to avoid any three corner fight which will be damaging to both parties.
 
4. On 14th night, we were shocked to learn that DSAI has already announced the Semenyih candidate. This decision was made in spite of PSM agreeing to stand under PKR logo in Semenyih. The Kota Damansara seat was not announced pending negotiation with PSM. We also hear that PKR has also prepared a parachute candidate to stand in Sungai Siput. 

5. PSM has now called for an emergency National Committee Meeting to discuss the following:

i. To review our position to stand in the 4 seats using our own logo.
ii. To discuss the current development where PR is three cornering PSM in all its seats and our relationship with PR.
iii. To discuss and decide on the request made by non PSM members, mostly members from DAP and PKR who wants to stand using PSM logo in some areas. To date there has been 10 requests - 2 from Sabah, 1 from Perak, 3 from Negeri Sembilan and 4 from Selangor.
iv. To discuss the request made by Environmental groups and PSM Cameron to field our candidate in Cameron Highlands.

 

Pitiful clowns assure Security for Sabah

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 10:40 PM PDT

http://starstorage.blob.core.windows.net/archives/2012/10/26/columnists/whynot/n_33naval.jpg 

BN wants the people of Sabah to vote for it for better security. That was the same old excuse in 1963!

Joe Fernandez


This must be the joke of the century considering the fact that they looked the other way for 50 years while the illegals flooded in and swamped the electoral rolls, marginalised and disenfranchised the Orang Asal, among others, increased the crime rate, filled the jails and caused other social problems.

The 200 Suluks involved in the Lahad Datu intrusion are the last group, not the first, to enter Sabah. About 800,000 of them are already here.

Najib bought two small submarines and parked it at Sepanggar because he knew Sabahans would just keep quiet.

The Government wants to sell them but there are no buyers.

Submarines are useless in shallow waters.

The Chinese are claiming the South China Sea up to 80 km off the Sabah coast. That's well within our 250 km Exclusive Economic Zone. Their ships are off our coast.

What does Putrajaya do?

Nothing!

What can it do?

Nothing!

Yet BN is urging Sabahans to vote for it. They claim that only the BN can provide security for Sabah.

The BN are degenerating into a bunch of pitiful clowns. They can't get away from the same old stale acts. They should think of some new ways of singing for their supper.

 

Voting for Harmony

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 02:16 PM PDT

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/images/uploads/mugshots/chandra-muzaffar1-sept13.jpg 

It is an irrefutable fact that the BN has the experience and the expertise in dealing with ethnic challenges. 

Chandra Muzaffar

It is a truism that the survival and success of our nation depends upon our ability to sustain and enhance our inter-ethnic harmony. This is why the question of how the Barisan Nasional (BN) or the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) will manage ethnic relations in the country in the coming years is of critical importance to the voter in the 5 May General Election.

For a society whose multi-religious and multi-cultural texture is one of the most complex in the world, Malaysia has done remarkably well in preserving a degree of inter-ethnic harmony which is the envy of the rest of the human family. An objective criterion testifies to this. Over 55 years there has been a minimum of communal violence. There has been only one major riot with communal overtones that resulted in the loss of lives. That the riot of 13 May 1969 was contained within a specific city, that law and order was restored within weeks and democratic rule reinstated in 21 months, is incontrovertible proof of the Government's ability to deal with an ethnic challenge.

The BN government and its predecessor, the Alliance, have proven their credentials in a number of other less significant fracases. The 1967 disturbance in Penang; the 1978 Kerling incident; and the 2001 Kampong Medan episode would be some examples. The BN has also defused ethnic tensions arising from certain issues such as the 1978 Merdeka University controversy, and the 2010 sporadic attacks on churches, mosques and a gurdawara in the wake of a Court decision on the use of the term 'Allah'. Culprits responsible for the one cow head and five pig head incidents in recent years have also been punished by the law.

It is an irrefutable fact that the BN has the experience and the expertise in dealing with ethnic challenges. The PR has yet to be tested largely because when ethnic issues impinge upon security, they come within the purview of the Federal Government. Its management of four state governments has not equipped the PR with the skills and knowledge to negotiate the complex multi-ethnic terrain that is Malaysia.

PR supporters sometimes point to the inter-ethnic harmony in Kelantan as proof of its ability to maintain good relations among the different communities. Inter-harmony in Kelantan has very little to do with the Pas led government per se. Even when the BN was in power in Kota Baru from 1978 to 1990, relations between the majority Malay community and the Chinese and Siamese minorities were amicable. Kelantan has a long and distinguished record of inter-ethnic conviviality which goes beyond parties and politics. The small size of the minorities--- 5% of the population --- and their readiness to integrate into the larger Malay cultural ethos, the accommodative attitude of the majority, and an indigenous structure of governance which was not totally subverted by colonial rule, have all contributed to this.

In fact, current trends seem to suggest that conviviality among the communities in Kelantan may be under some strain as a result of the politics represented by PAS and its partner, the DAP. Some of the restrictions and controls imposed in the name of PAS's notion of 'Islamic morality' are beginning to create a certain degree of uneasiness among younger non-Muslim Kelantanese. Similarly, the rise of Chinese ethnocentrism at the national level, fuelled to a large extent by the DAP, is seeping into the consciousness of a segment of Chinese youths in Kelantan, and separating them from the Malay majority.

This is the real danger of enthroning PAS and DAP in Putrajaya. If they rule Malaysia, their respective ideological orientations will widen even further the chasm that divides Malaysian communities. PAS's superficial approach to Muslim identity reflected in its negative outlook on the rights and roles of women; the interaction between the sexes; and what constitutes wholesome entertainment, coupled with its obsession with prohibitions and punishments, will not only drive a wedge between Muslims and non-Muslims but also polarise Muslims themselves. The DAP, on the other hand, which is already alienated from the Malay majority because of some of its chauvinistic stances will trigger a backlash from the latter if it pursues policies on the economy or education motivated by its lopsided view of equality.

It is not just their individual policies that are inimical to national unity. The DAP is vehemently opposed to PAS's Islamic state which remains the Islamic party's real goal even as it continues to flip-flop over its 'negara kebajikan'. The DAP's mission of a 'Malaysian Malaysia' which in reality demonstrates very little empathy for the defining attributes of the land and its identity --- Bahasa Melayu; Islam and the Malay Rulers --- is a quest which Pas rejects totally though it has not been vocal about it since 2008. This huge gap that separates the two parties in the Pakatan defies resolution. The third partner in the PR, the Parti Keadilan Rakyat (PKR), has made no attempt to reconcile this ideological split between the two parties. This is why the PR is, for all intents and purposes, an inchoate, disparate inter-party grouping which is utterly incapable of bringing the various Malaysian communities together.

Malaysians should ask themselves if it is wise to hand the reins of power to such a grouping especially at a time when religion is emerging as the fundamental fault-line in our society. This is a pertinent question to raise for while PAS remains wedded to a narrow identity based dogma, the DAP is increasingly becoming the conduit for strident Christian voices that are less than sensitive to the prevailing Muslim majority landscape. How can any sane, sensible person expect these two parties to help forge unity in the years ahead?

 

Dr. Chandra Muzaffar is the Chairman of the Board of Trustees of Yayasan 1Malaysia.

 

On GE13

Posted: 13 Apr 2013 03:00 PM PDT

 https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcS4SLS2eLBwEmRsq8Tp19y4Hq6WYvmQvbapXdxCSU8GqpFjqOsw

Most of BN's electoral promises can be found in their previous manifestoes for general elections since at least the 1980s. The BN solution to all of our problems is as follows: firstly, deny that there is a problem and crisis of confidence as to where we are heading as a nation; secondly, simply spend money that is not there to buy the peoples' support and loyalty; and thirdly, maintain the status quo under an elaborate charade of reform. 

Gerard Lourdesamy 

The 13th general election is upon us in three weeks time. The 5th of May 2013 like the 31st of August 1957 is a defining moment in our nation's history. After 56 years of near total domination of our political life first by the Alliance and then the Barisan Nasional (BN), the people of this great land have a historic opportunity to vote for change rather than piece-meal transformation and guarded reforms.

The nation's institutions and economy are in tatters. The Constitutional checks and balances guaranteed and envisioned by our founding fathers lie in ruin thanks to innumerable amendments to our charter of liberty and freedom, by successive BN governments. These amendments were calculated to entrench power in the hands of an all-powerful and yet unaccountable Executive with a subservient and unrepresentative police force and state security apparatus to instil fear and carry out retribution against persons or organisations perceived to be a threat to the vested interests of the ruling elite. In the process the regulatory role of Parliament was relegated to a rubber stamp; the rulers rendered powerless; the courts were emasculated and the media subjugated and controlled to the point of insignificance. Credible journalism in this country predicated on fairness, impartiality and integrity is long dead.

Against this backdrop of institutional decline, we have seen our economy get less and less competitive amidst an environment of over-regulation and ineffective enforcement, endemic corruption, inefficiency and weaknesses; leakages arising from a lack of transparency and accountability; and a bloated civil service that is incapable of improving itself thanks to inbred inertia, the absence of integrity and the inability to remain impartial and impervious to political pressure and influence. Corruption is accepted as a reality and a guarantee of upward social mobility and entry to elite circles resplendent with an extravagant and impressive lifestyle that is the envy of many ordinary Malaysians.

Rather than tackle fundamental and institutional problems with our economy largely caused by the distortion of the New Economic Policy (NEP) and its successor policies; the lack of innovation and research; a moribund and unproductive workforce which lacks proper tertiary education and skills training; and the inability to compete with the emerging economies, that has caused us to be left behind in terms of direct foreign investment and is leading us into stagnation and a middle income wage trap despite the overly optimistic target of fully developed status by 2020, the BN has chosen to tinker with economic planning and policy simply to protect the interests of various competing groups within UMNO who have simply high-jacked the Malay agenda in order to enrich themselves, their families and cronies.

Very often the fear of being unable to achieve the questionable equity targets set by the NEP and the perception that economic power is still in the hands of the Chinese and foreigners, is used as an excuse to perpetuate a culture of mediocrity and malaise but with incessant demands for closed or negotiated tenders for mega projects valued at billons of ringgit at the expense of transparency and ability to perform and deliver. Mismanagement and wastage is swept under the carpet while corruption and abuse of power often goes unreported and unpunished.

It is this culture of patronage and political largesse that has caused us to lose tens of billions of ringgits in failed economic ventures and other projects including speculative trading in currency and commodities, that has not benefitted the people by any measure. Successive bail-outs of well connected personalities and cheap credit and loans to companies that are abject failures have not helped empower the Malays either economically or socially. The beneficiaries are simply extensions of the ruling elite in UMNO or the BN through ubiquitous front companies both on and off shore. The ordinary Malays and Bumiputera in the kampongs, fishing villages and rural areas have not benefitted from these so-called attempts to create a Malay super-rich entrepreneurial class with the ability to compete nationally and globally who would invariable help the poorer Malays and Bumiputera with business and employment opportunities.

While eradication of poverty is much touted by the BN, we still have a very long way to go thanks to the increasing income disparity between and within various ethnic groups in the country where a disproportionate number of Malays and East Malaysian natives followed by Indians and some Chinese live on meagre incomes and appalling living conditions.

Access to minimum standards of housing, proper sanitation and basic utilities is still lacking in many parts of the country and is shockingly bad in Sabah and Sarawak where the incidence of poverty is at its highest despite these two states being rich in natural resources like oil, gas and timber.

Our education system is in disarray where most of our local graduates thanks to an over regulated and controlled education system that discourages critical and analytical thinking, compounded by the total absence of academic freedom and integrity among a great many of our professors and lecturers who are appointed not on merit, ability, experience or academic excellence but rather on political affiliation, sympathy and unquestioning loyalty to the ruling party that is often confused with the government, are unable to perform and compete in the private sector and have to be assumed into the civil service to reduce unemployment and avoid a political backlash, where they invariably perform below par and cause innumerable problems within the service.

The poor command of the English language and the declining standards of learning in that language thanks to misguided nationalistic education policies in the 70s and 80s have caused our students and graduates to compare poorly to their counterparts even from non-traditional English speaking countries like Indonesia and Thailand.

These poor language skills are evident when communication with foreigners and foreign governments is impeded because of a lack of knowledge and confidence to speak, write and use good and proper English. Our diplomatic service is a clear example where apart from its unrepresentative character, our diplomats seem to keep to themselves and do the country a great disservice by failing to interact with their host governments, business community, think tanks and media to promote our national interests simply because they are not confident to speak in English or any other foreign language. Instead their role is limited to hosting receptions and celebrations for visiting dignitaries and their spouses and on national festive occasions.

Healthcare and health related services have become mired in a lack of qualified specialists in government hospitals, poor facilities, lack of beds, rising costs of care and medicines and the limited access to such facilities in rural areas. Instead of attempting to provide free universal healthcare or at least a system that will protect the lower income group from high medical costs while providing them with adequate access, the BN is more interested in privatisation and other absurd policies aimed at rationalisation but at the same time benefitting cronies of the government.

As a country rich in natural resources and talent despite the increasing brain-drain thanks to the BN's deadwood policies since the 1970s, most Malaysians are still told to wait for an economic, social and political transformation that will propel us to greater heights and eventually developed country status in 2020, provided the BN remains in power, since it seems that only the BN has the monopoly over development, the ability to deliver on promises and guarantee peace, security and stability.

But this message of the BN that resonates throughout its unimpressive manifesto for the 13th general election is nothing new or transformative. It is nothing but a continuation of the slew of promises and handouts promised in the last four successive budgets under Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak and also in the 10th Malaysia Plan approved by Parliament.

In fact most of BN's electoral promises can be found in their previous manifestoes for general elections since at least the 1980s. The BN solution to all of our problems is as follows: firstly, deny that there is a problem and crisis of confidence as to where we are heading as a nation; secondly, simply spend money that is not there to buy the peoples' support and loyalty; and thirdly, maintain the status quo under an elaborate charade of reform or transformation with a glitzy media campaign and creating numerous government linked bodies, agencies and companies to perpetuate the myth of change and reform.

While no one can begrudge Prime Minister Najib Razak's efforts to tinker at a micro level with our fundamental economic, social and political demands and problems, he regrettably has failed to deliver on anything of substance at a macro level simply because he is beholden to vested interests and he is afraid of confronting the old guard in UMNO headed by the despotic former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad.

Mahathir has proven time and again to be a master politician and tactician, far better than even Najib Razak or Anwar Ibrahim put together. He appeals to the base instincts of the Malays who fear a loss of political power if UMNO/BN loses the elections; the heightened demands of the Chinese and Indian minorities; and the overdependence on the natives of Sabah and Sarawak who are neither Malay nor Muslim. Mahathir's only concern at present is his legacy and his multi-billion dollar worth children who undoubtedly benefitted from his 22 years in office. The nation comes a poor second and the people probably third in his scheme of things. He wants to perpetuate the myth of UMNO as the only saviour and defender of the Malays while pretending to fight for the Malay economic cause.

The reality is of course different. His duplicity is clear for all to see. While he berates the Chinese and Indians, he has and continues to favour his cronies from these communities. He plays the race and religion card like a puppet master with Malay nationalist NGOs like Perkasa and others backing him unreservedly and doing his bidding which directly and indirectly benefits UMNO and the BN to the detriment of race relations and Najib's attempts to be more inclusive and embrace all ethnic groups under his 1 Malaysia campaign. And yet others like the Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin are happy to undermine the Prime Minister at every turn with the blessing of Mahathir to perpetuate the narrow nationalistic, communalistic and at times racist ideology of Malay supremacy and dominance which has succeeded in alienating the non-Malays and also the East Malaysian natives to a large degree.

UMNO is incapable of reform as long as Mahathir and the old guard continue to pursue their own agenda within the party. UMNO's domineering nature has weakened the BN and while the BN may have cohesion and discipline, the coalition members lack the freedom to disagree with and digress from the UMNO led agenda for nation building. Under the disguise of consensus and consociationalism, the BN component parties have become servile to UMNO even to the point of sacrificing the interests of the ethnic groups they represent in order to simply preserve their status, standing and benefits from being in government with UMNO.

There is at present a wide disconnect between the people and their leaders. BN has and will continue to practice a top down type of limited democracy where the people are the servants of their political masters and are expected to remain always loyal and grateful to the ruling elite for their leadership and benevolence. In fact the BN in the last three decades has established itself in the model of a neo-fascist regime where the cult of leaders is actively encouraged in a climate of fear and oppression with a subservient media whose only role is to perpetuate a culture of undying loyalty and gratitude to the ruling party.

The excesses and extravagance of the ruling elite has no limits. And this extends to their children and cronies as well. Despite claiming to be an Islamic country, UMNO pays scant regard to the key tenets of Islam which is moderation, piety, justice and fairness to Muslims and non-Muslims alike. Corruption and abuses of power are justified in the national interest and even religious scholars are roped in justify policies of the government that are not beneficial to the people as a whole and probably offensive to core Islamic values.

While I do not wish to trumpet the promises made by the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) in their manifesto which like the BN is populist and short of facts, figures and reality, it at least offers a genuine promise of change and reform. While the PR may not be perfect and at times appears disunited and disjointed, which may be due to its component parties' unique and competing ideologies and diverse interests, coupled with lack of experience in governance until 2008, they are at least making an attempt to restore sanity and normalcy to our national way of life by advocating greater democracy and freedom, respect for the rule of law and human rights, eliminating corruption, abuses, wastage and leakages in our economy and most importantly restoring social justice by way of a needs based approached as opposed to a race based one, which has failed the BN since the inception of the NEP.

While PR has to put up with constant criticism and bad press; divisions and infighting; listless leadership at times; and even poor handling of national issues amidst competing demands from ethic groups and core constituents, it has succeeded in creating a greater awareness among the people of our rights in a seemingly democratic society and our quest for economic and social justice, fairness and equitable treatment. People have become more responsive to national issues and have started to question, criticise and condemn. While at times there is a great deal of untruths and slander being bandied about by both sides of the political divide, people are less concerned about the sexual proclivities of our leaders but more about the direction and future of our country.

Not all in Malaysia is bad just as not all in Malaysia is good. The voters have to be discerning and wise in making their choice. The results must be respected by both sides provided the elections themselves are free and fair by minimum international standards. While we cannot depend entirely on so-called independent institutions like the Election Commission (EC), the police and the media to guarantee a free and fair poll, we must ourselves keep watch and guard over the electoral process to ensure that it is free from abuse and corruption. The voters must come out in high numbers and give a decisive victory to whichever coalition they feel is the right choice to govern and lead this country into our future.

The time has come to move away from old and decaying things and move towards something new, full of promise and dynamism that is guaranteed to provide us with an exciting and challenging five years ahead.

 

 

 

Why is Malaysiakini three-cornering PSM?

Posted: 12 Apr 2013 10:11 PM PDT

S Arutchelvan

I refer to the article 'Parti Sosialis Malaysia (PSM) may force three-cornered fights with PKR' yesterday and take offence to the title by Malaysiakini which I find to be unfair, biased and manipulative. I do understand that some PKR leaders are shareholders of Malaysiakini but that should not be used to belittle other parties.

Let me put the below record straight and let the people decide who is three-cornering who or is it that Malaysiakini is trying to three-corner PSM to create a biased opinion poll.
 
Semenyih seat - there is no member of PKR who has ever stood in this seat. In 2004, PAS stood in the seat and in 2008, I as the secretary-general of PSM stood in the seat borrowing the PKR logo as the PSM party was not registered yet. How then can this seat, which was never contested by any member of PKR, has suddenly become a PKR seat and PSM is accused of three-cornering the seat? I did not ever become a PKR member.

Why was the Semenyih seat given to PSM to stand in 2008? The answer is that PSM did exchange this seat to the Bukit Lanjan seat where PSM stood in 2004. Now you will understand how the Bukit Lanjan seat became a PKR seat and not a DAP seat.
 
Kota Damansara seat - this seat has never been contested by a PKR member. In 2004, the seat was contested by PAS and in 2008, PSM's chairperson Dr Nasir Hashim contested in the seat. Dr Nasir exchanged the Subang Parliament seat he stood in 2004 for the Kota Damansara state seat.

Now, how can the Kota Damansara state seat which was never contested by any member of PKR before become a PKR seat and how come now PSM is accused of three-cornering the seat?
 
Sungai Siput seat - Dr D Jeyakumar, a PSM central committee member, stood in this seat in the 1999, 2004 and 2008 election borrowing DAP and PKR logo. No member of PKR has ever stood in this seat. How come this seat suddenly become a PKR seat and we are accused of three-cornering the seat?
 
Jelapang seat - the Jelapang seat is perhaps the only seat where there is a real dispute. This is a new seat. In 2004, there was a three-cornered fight between BN, DAP and PKR. In 2008, there was a three-cornered fight between BN, DAP and PSM which DAP won.

In this election the PSM candidate is claiming that the seat should be given to PSM since the DAP member jumped ship to BN, while DAP claims that they won the seat and they deserve to stand again. PSM has requested for third party NGOs and activist to help resolve this dispute and PSM will adhere to the suggestion by this neutral  group on who should stand in Jelapang.
 
PSM has also stated that PSM is only standing in the same seat like last election, only that the party is registered now. Even at the eleventh hour, PSM is still seeking to ensure that there is a straight fight with BN. It is ridiculous for Malaysiakini to state that PSM will three-corner PKR when PKR members have never stood in any of these three seats.
 
While PSM believes that the big picture is to defeat BN and we all have a big task towards this, yet this does not give any immunity to any party to bully and manipulate the situation.


S ARUTCHELVAN is PSM secretary-general.

 

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Reducing Malaysia’s debt burden

Posted: 15 Apr 2013 03:51 PM PDT

Malaysia came out of the 'Great Recession' relatively little the worse for wear, but bearing a higher burden of debt than is common among emerging markets, both in the public as well as in the private sector. While concern over Malaysia's public sector debt has been less evident in the public discourse lately, those concerns are never far away. At 52.9% of GDP in 2012, the debt level is nowhere near the onerous burdens carried by many advanced economies, with much of the increase in debt due to the 6.7% fiscal deficit incurred during the Great Recession.

Yet public sector debt remains far above the regional average and while not in itself dangerous, it does limit the ability of the government to counteract future crises. Arguments against the government's debt level are thus now framed in terms of improving "fiscal space". For example, in the latest Article IV Consultation, this is what the IMF had to say:

Malaysia's fiscal space has shrunk considerably following the global financial crisis…A weak structural fiscal position and a relatively high debt ratio reduce the ability to mount countercyclical fiscal responses in the future.

There are quite valid concerns over the sustainability of government revenue and expenditure. The tax base is narrow with less than 10% of the workforce actually paying taxes, while a third of government revenue comes from taxes and dividends on the oil & gas industry, which over the long term is threatened by potentially declining reserves and more recently, lower global prices. Nevertheless, the overall debt to GDP ratio is below any critical threshold, and the government carries minimal external debt with over 95% raised domestically. The financial system has more than sufficient excess liquidity to absorb further debt issuance, and both interest rates across the term structure and debt service ratios are at near all time lows.

So while immediate concerns over a Malaysian sovereign debt crisis are substantially overblown, the case for reducing the debt to GDP ratio makes sense. This is especially true since the economy appears to be growing along its potential-output growth path which means, whether viewed from the lens of neo-classical or Keynesian macroeconomic thought, fiscal consolidation in Malaysia is thus both necessary and appropriate.

The question remains as to how to go about it. Much of the government's financial commitments are "sticky" – salaries, pensions and debt service payments make up nearly 40% of the 2013 Budget. The development budget (which is fully funded through debt) is discretionary, but cuts here would reduce future potential growth, and limit investment in needed infrastructure. The two other major items of expenditure that could be ripe for the plucking are procurements and subsidies, which combined total nearly 30% of total government expenditure.

Shifting to a largely open-tender based procurement approach, as the government has committed to doing, could yield some savings by plugging leakages and wastage. But gains here may be more limited than one might imagine – open tenders may be more cost-effective in theory, but much of these efficiency gains are lost as procurement needs grow larger and more complex.

Subsidy reduction offers greater scope for cost savings. The federal government expects to spend RM37.6 billion (about US$12.3 billion) on subsidies in 2013, of which the largest portion will go towards maintaining below market petrol and diesel prices. In addition, there is the "hidden" subsidy borne by the national oil company Petronas, which provides natural gas below market prices to domestic power producers, industry, and consumers. In 2011, this subsidy amounted to an additional RM18.7 billion (US$6.1 billion).

Rationalising subsidies would go a long way towards reducing the deficit, and begin making a dent in reducing the government's debt load. While this has met with considerable and understandable civil and political opposition, there's no doubt that any future administration will need to address this issue. The long overdue implementation of GST would also, on the revenue side, help close the fiscal gap.

But leaving aside the effort to improve fiscal space, of more pressing concern is Malaysia's private sector debt, specifically household debt. Malaysian corporate gearing ratios have been generally declining since the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-98, but household debt has been concurrently on the rise. From 72.6% of GDP in 2005, household borrowing has increased to 80.5% as of 2012 – as corporate balance sheets mended, household balance sheets have deteriorated.

This trend has come from a confluence of global and domestic macroeconomic factors such as low-wage competition (e.g. from China), wages progressively delinking from productivity, falling real interest rates, banks shifting emphasis from corporate to household lending, rising property prices, and a higher cost of living. While much of this household debt has been used to acquire properties and financial assets which could presumably back the attendant liabilities in the event of a crisis, there is a worrying heterogeneity in the distribution and direction of borrowing.

Something like 80% of household borrowing is by households that earn higher than average incomes (greater than RM3,000 per month, or US$1,000), and 46.5% are to households earning above RM5,000 (US$1,600) per month. The leverage ratio of the latter is in the region of 2.3-3.3 times annual incomes, a relatively comfortable level. For households earning less than RM3,000 however, the leverage ratio ranges from 4.4 to an astonishingly high 9.6 times annual income.

More worrying still, the fastest growing component of low income household debt is in personal loans, which are increasingly provided through the non-bank sector. The numbers are frightening – loan approvals through non-banks rose 63.7% in 2012, and the average personal loan was for RM68,000 (US$22,300) with a duration of 20-25 years.

READ MORE HERE

 

Who can meet the expectations of the majority?

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 02:51 PM PDT

It is not easy to categorise the two opposing coalitions and its members as they are disparate, complex, and, with multiple agendas, often fractured. This is primarily the outcome of Malaysia's recent history. The disparate regions and people that make up Malaysia today are, after all, an artificial construct whose only common denominator was that they were all subject to British Imperial power. A peninsular with 9 Malay kingdoms at the end of Asia's land mass whose citizens were populated in majority by a polyglot of people from the Malay Archipelago, the Chinese and South Asian subcontinents, with a sprinkling of Arabs, Turks, remnants of past colonialists, various unique groups that were created through inter-marriages, and not to mention the many indigenous peoples aggregated together with two geographical entities on the island of Borneo, that is separated by 800 kilometres of the South China Sea, and whose people have greater cultural affinities with the peoples of the Philippines and Indonesia, and who themselves are disparate in culture, ethnicity and language.

However, all these societies did have one feature in common – feudalism. This was buttressed by British efforts to violently suppress progressive elements in the Malayan polity, preferring instead to hand over power after independence to conservative elements, primarily as a means to protect British interests. The feudalistic nature of these societies gave rise to what has become a very successful model of politics practised by the ruling coalition since the first elections before independence in 1955: Consociational politics, where the elites bargained and struck a deal where each group – first three, then rising to 14, now 13 political parties – had some share of political and economic power under the hegemonic power of the Malay and increasingly Islamised United Malays National Organisation (UMNO). This system has served BN well, chalking up electoral victory after victory at the past 12 general elections.

More importantly, the BN and its predecessor, the Alliance, were able to monopolise power because they were able to forge a 'syncretism' in their style of government i.e. governing via a variety of ideological orientations and political practises. The BN was successful not only because of its competent stewardship of the Malaysian economy but mainly because they were able to straddle competing (social, economic and political) interests within their coalition as well as address competing interests outside it by either co-opting them into BN, stifling them through draconian measures or skilfully manipulating these competing interests. The opposition parties and coalitions of the past were not able to successfully mount a challenge to the Alliance and BN partly because the electoral process and system was stacked against them, but also because the opposition parties could never successfully find a way to manage the competing interests that they each represented.

In the past decade or so, especially since the sacking of former Deputy Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and the East Asian Financial Crisis of 1997/98, the BN appears to have lost this unique ability to straddle the competing interests of its members and the communities they represent, while the opposition, led by, ironically, the sacked former Deputy Prime Minister, appears to be increasingly adroit at managing these tensions.

Therefore, one big question at GE13 is how the two coalitions are projecting themselves as true representatives of the people's wishes, and how they go about addressing the key challenges that Malaysia as a country and Malaysians as a people face, in a way that satisfies the myriad competing interests.

The key reasons for widespread dissatisfaction with the present situation are manifold, but the key issues that both coalitions have to address are the rising living costs, demographic change, rapid urbanisation and increasingly uneasy race-relations.

The BN, in the past, has been very successful with their politics of development and key among these has been the reduction of absolute poverty to below three per cent and shaping Malaysia into a middle income economy by 1994 on the back of a low-cost, export-oriented economic model whilst at the same time creating a Malay middle class, primarily through the expansion of the public sector and government linked corporations (GLCs) jobs that is financed primarily through Malaysia's revenue from non-renewable resources.

However, this particular model has two unintended effects: widespread relative poverty and high income inequality. The low-cost model has seen wages for 80 per cent of Malaysian households stagnate over the past three decades. These households earn less than RM3,000 (around AUS$ 1,000) a month in a country where the average monthly income is RM4,025 (around AUS$ 1,250). More critically, the bottom 40 per cent of households earn on average RM1,440 a month (around AUS$ 450). Most shockingly, the vast majority (71 per cent) of people in the bottom 40 per cent are bumiputeras – literally sons of the soil, a  designation that includes Malays and a range of indigenous groups – despite 40 odd years of affirmative action for this group. Indeed, their well-being is and has been the raison de être of UMNO, the backbone of the ruling coalition.

People have been able to get by in spite of rising living costs, because they have been kept at bay by infusing government funds into basic social services, food staples and a fuel subsidy. The last especially has proven effective, but any attempts to rein in costs have been met by popular resistance as a motorised populace has become addicted to cheap petrol.

There is also a significant demographic change in Malaysia. 71 per cent of Malaysians are under the age of 40 with 34 per cent aged between 20 and 40. They face a major challenge. Malaysia is in a middle income trap and must either develop or procure high quality human capital as a pre-requisite to transition into a high income economy. However, Malaysia's poor quality education has not prepared them for the necessary challenges of a knowledge intensive economy. International benchmarks and surveys shows that the quality of education in Malaysia, at all levels, is no match to the successful East Asian economies that Malaysia has chosen to emulate. 80 per cent of Malaysia's labour force has no more than the Sijil Pelajaran Malaysia (SPM – equivalent to year 10 or O'levels qualifications), and the 57 universities and the more than 500 colleges are producing large numbers of graduates that the Malaysian labour market deems unsuitable or poorly skilled. This in an economy experiencing full employment since the late 1980s, and severe skills shortage since the early 1990s. Ironically, unemployment among graduates was highest. In 2007, graduates accounted for more than one-quarter of those unemployed, while unemployment among new graduates was 24. 1 per cent in 2008. With limited employability, mediocre wages and loans to be repaid, young Malaysian graduates end up saddled with enormous debt. The bloated civil service and GLCs, which are also perceived to be inefficient and a fiscal drag on the economy, are unable to provide the expected middle class jobs for bumiputeras long accustomed to getting them as part of a perceived social contract with UMNO.

However, perhaps ironically, it has been rapid urbanisation, that has brought these once disparate communities closer together. While many urban areas are still stratified by race and class, the sheer density has increased the interaction. 71 per cent of Malaysia is now urban. Only Kelantan, Pahang, Perlis, Sabah and Sarawak have rates or urbanisation below 55 per cent.

Better infrastructure, especially information communication and telecommunications, in urban areas have also provided a platform for dissatisfied Malaysians to hear alternative views and to connect with each other. 65 per cent of Malaysians were using the internet in 2010. As the internet largely remains uncensored, the opposition coalition and civil society movements have used it effectively to mobilise support for their causes. These groups have used social media, technology and the internet to also penetrate into rural areas through free radio, websites, but also the audio-visual recording of government scandals in DVDs, and other forms. While the ruling party has also joined the information technology revolution, the opposition has been quicker and more able to marshal support online despite being out-resourced by the ruling coalition.

These developments, whose impacts were first experienced at the 2008 general election, have impacted the coalitions in different ways, and have prompted different reactions. It appears that the BN continues to rely on its tried and tested race-based, trickle-down economic growth, and welfarist approach to policies while PR sensing that the ground has shifted, appears to focus on class-based and rights-based policies.

READ MORE HERE

 

A Barisan Win is No Victory for Malaysia

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 02:30 PM PDT

(Second of Four Parts)

There can only be three possible outcomes to the next election:  Barisan to win with a comfortable victory; Pakatan Rakyat to prevail; and a hung parliament. A comfortable victory is one where the expected hopping of a dozen or so successful candidates would not materially affect the political balance. A hung parliament is where the buying or the shifting of allegiance of a handful of elected members would significantly alter the political balance.

Contrary to the pronouncements of many, the worst possible outcome would not be a hung parliament but a Barisan victory. The best possible outcome would be for Pakatan to secure that majority. A hung parliament is not the worse but then also not the best possible outcome either.

I begin with Barisan being returned to power, not with a supra majority for not even Najib Razak is predicting that, not in his wildest dream. In his speech dissolving Parliament, he implicitly conceded the possibility of defeat. Only his fanatic supporters are fantasizing big victory, but only after they have been high on their free tapai(fermented rice).

If you relish precious public funds being squandered through bloated contracts (think of the scandalous "commission" that slimy "Datuk T" secured for the non-existing crooked bridge) and outright pilferage (as with the "cow-gate" scandal and the Scorpene submarines that would not submerge), then expect more of the same with another Barisan victory. Only this time the scale would be even more outrageous both in scope and amount, difficult though that may be to imagine. Barisan, and UMNO specifically, would look upon their victory as approval if not vindication of their corrupt and wasteful ways. That is what Najib meant by not changing horse midway. He and his cronies wish to remain on their gilded saddles.

With a Barisan victory we would never get to the bottom of the "cow-gate" scandal or the outrageous civil settlement between Khazanah and ex-Malaysian Airlines' boss Tajuddin Ramli. Consider that had Barisan won Selangor in 2008, that Khir Toyo character would still be its Chief Minister and not the convicted criminal that he is today. There are many Khir Toyos at the federal level; only a Barisan defeat would expose these scumbags. Only with a Pakatan victory could they be held accountable and be prosecuted.

Read more at: http://www.bakrimusa.com/archives/barisan-win-no-victory-for-malaysia 

 

Fulfilling a promise of hope?

Posted: 14 Apr 2013 01:51 PM PDT

Barisan Nasional launched their long awaited manifesto on Saturday 6 April. I was in Kuala Terengganu that evening for a meeting. Since I knew that the Barisan Nasional event will be broadcasted live on the taxpayer funded RTM, I decided to head for an ikan bakar dinner near the Kuala Ibai bridge, expecting to watch it while enjoying the food. But someone stood up as soon as the programme started and changed to a football match instead. So I missed the atmosphere of the grand event as it happened.

 

Luckily there is Youtube. Watching the video recording, I could see that the atmosphere was electric. The Bukit Jalil National Stadium was filled was BN supporters, cheering Dato' Sri Najib as he attacked Pakatan Rakyat's record, presented BN's plans for the next five years, and proudly praising BN's achievements to date.

Indeed BN deserves to be proud of what they have achieved. There is no doubt that under BN, and its predecessor Alliance, Malaysia has changed tremendously. Particularly during the time of Tun Mahathir, Malaysia was transformed from an agriculture economy into a manufacturing powerhouse. And over the last four years, Najib has worked hard to turn our economy into one that is based more on knowledge and technology.

The New Economic Model (NEM) has become the thrust of BN's agenda today. It aspires to make Malaysia a high income nation that is both inclusive and sustainable by galvanising the private sector to become our engine of growth. The NEM also aspires to remove the distributive and entitlement culture and rentier behaviour that has become widespread in our society. This is almost the best promise of hope any leader can give.

So when BN launched its first manifesto – the first one after the NEM- I expected the spirit of NEM will envelope all their promises. Surely BN wants to be consistent in their messaging, ensuring people take their promises seriously.

Alas the manifesto confirms that BN too has chosen the populist and welfarist path.

The manifesto contains a deluge of promises on how BN wants to spend our money. The list of welfare programmes is extensive, including committing to more than doubling the amount for BR1M to RM1200 per household and RM600 for singles, increasing the value of 1Malaysia Book Vouchers to RM300, and Schooling Aid to RM150.

If BN wins GE13, we can expect to see more widespread use of the 1Malaysia brand. There will be more clinics, retail outlets, retail items, daycare centres, and housing projects sporting the brand. The implication is that these will all be "affordable", which should be read as the government actively distorting prices or heavily subsidising them.

When the promises of handouts and subsidies were read out at Bukit Jalil Stadium, the crowd cheered loudly. And with those cheers, the NEM promise to remove the distributive and entitlement culture looks set to be broken.

BN's manifesto also makes several promises involving the private sector and government-linked companies (GLCs). The production of more 1Malaysia products will be "driven by GLCs and the private sector" The private sector is expected to take part in building 1 million affordable homes, including 500,000 PR1MA houses.

GLCs will be expected to be more active in developing Bumiputra entrepreneurs by increasing outsourcing programmes for Bumiputra companies. And social engineering will be made a norm in GLCs as BN promises to "ensure a fair mix of all races" in these companies.

In other words, this manifesto envisions a Malaysia in which the private sector and GLCs will play the role of political agents tasked with delivering the agenda of a political coalition. This is a worrying future and is at odds with what was envisaged in the NEM. Rather than stepping out of the way to allow the private sector to do what they do best – create wealth for everyone – BN is embedding government intervention in the private sector to achieve political
goals.

Read more at: http://ideas.org.my/?p=6771 

 

Use of Sosma an Overreaction to a Non Situation

Posted: 13 Apr 2013 03:17 PM PDT

Think tank Political Studies for Change (KPRU) welcomes the assurance given by the police that Security Offences (Special Measures) Act 2012 (SOSMA) will not be abused during the the run up to the 13th General Election. The assurance is a proactive measure to quell any distrust by the public towards the police on the possibility of SOSMA being arbitrarily used. However, as well as providing assurance that SOSMA will not be abused, the police is highly recommended to take immediate and appropriate actions against perpetrators of political violence seen during and post election season.

This comes considering that SOSMA is intended to be used against matters that are a threat to parliamentary democracy. Considering that the definition to what constitutes to threat against parliamentary democracy is neither clear nor succinct, it opens the possibility of abuse. Malaysians are reminded of the arrests made in relation to the Lahad Datu intrusion which individuals were arrested under SOSMA for suspicions of having connections with the intrusion. What assurance does the police have for Malaysians and the opposition or its supporters will not be arrested under SOSMA on grounds of "suspicions for being a threat to parliamentary democracy" during this GE13?

A fair and just police is a police that protects the public at all cost. However, that role of the police in Malaysia is a perverted role. Instead of protecting the public, the police have issued a threat to all Malaysians that they will use the newly minted and widely controversial law of Sosma on Malaysians during the 13th General Election (GE 13) "to ensure the general election is not affected by incidents or security threats and be accused of being terrorist"?

The irony of this situation by the police comes when it warns individuals and non governmental bodies to not overstep the law but the police itself are overstepping the toes of Malaysians by indirectly accusing Malaysians of having intentions to disrupt the peace of this country.

The recent selective screening of the controversial movie Tanda Putera also raises the question on its weightage as influence during the GE13. Malaysians familiar with the tragedy of 13th May are also familiar of the conspiracies surrounding the cause of the tragedy. How will the police ensure that the selective screening of Tanda Putera will not fall into one of the conspiracy theories behind any unwarranted incidents during and post GE13?

There is a problem with wearing the badge with too much pride when the police asserts that SOSMA will not be abused during GE 13 when past records indicate the police have no experience or the know how to handle situations when faced with large crowds. On the other hand, the problem with threatening to enforce SOSMA during GE13 is that it gives a considerable amount of power and justification for the police to exercise their brute enforcement on Malaysians if, to say things went awry.

Read more at: http://kpru2010.wordpress.com/2013/04/14/use-of-sosma-an-overreaction-to-a-non-situation/ 

 

Kredit: www.malaysia-today.net

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Video Seks Nik Aziz Pula Tersebar

Posted: 15 Apr 2013 11:42 AM PDT

Rasanya video ini tersebar sejak beberapa bulan lepas dan kini dibangkit semula oleh blogger Pron BN UMNO. Sehingga ke Mekkah pun mereka reka cerita skandal keji. Politik melayu memang kelakar…gila

Sejak dari tahun 1998 lagi umNO sudah tiada isu lain, Nak cakap parti ini bela rakyat, merompak duit rakyat lagi ada lah. Tak cukup lagi dengan merompak, parti ini juga telah banyak kali menyalahgunakan kuasa yang mereka ada! Mereka telah menyalahgunakan kuasa yang ada pada mereka demi kepentingan peribadi dan politik mereka dan kroni.
Isu Kapal Selam Scorpene, Perwaja Steel dan NFC adalah salah satu dari bukti penyalahgunaan kuasa mereka! Itu belum lagi termasuk kes-kes yang telah ditutup seperti PERWAJA dan PKFZ yang ditutup atas sebab-sebab tertentu!

Apakah cara mereka untuk menutup dan mengalihkan kesalahan-kesalahan mereka dari pengetahuan umum? Inilah antaranya dengan mereka-reka video & gambar parti lawan mereka! Ini terbukti dengan keluarnya video-video lucah & fitnah yang dilakonkan oleh pelakon-pelakon yang dibayar oleh unit-unit media umNO!

Mereka juga cukup hebat dalam merekacipta sesuatu fitnah yang kononnya berpunca dari pihak lawan mereka seperti peristiwa di Lahad Dato yang dikatakan berpunca dari Anwar Ibrahim sedangkan yang terbukti memberi ic@kad pengenalan biru kepada pengganas-pengganas ini adalah puak umNO termasuklah bekas Mantan Presiden umNO sendiri.

Selain dijanjikan kerakyatan, pengganas ini dijanjikan tanah dan kerja yang tetap oleh pemimpin-pemimpin umNO ini! Tetapi yang menjadi masalah apabila janji untuk diberi tanah telah dimungkiri dan akibatnya pengganas ini memberontak!

Inilah kisah sebenar disebalik insiden di Lahad Dato ini yang telah mengorbankan sebilangan anggota polis dan tentera! Akhirnya insiden ini telah dijadikan satu helah dan alasan untuk umNO dan Be ENd menanggung-nangguhkan Pilihanraya Umum ke 13! Selain untuk mengaburi mata rakyat dari isu-isu penyelewengan pemimpin-pemimpin umNO ia juga telah dijadikan senjata untuk merosakkan imej pemimpin-pemimpin pembangkang!

Bila tembelang-tembelang mereka ini mula pecah, mereka kini terpaksa merekacipta isu-isu lain dan memulakan fitnah baru! Antara fitnah-fitnah mereka yang dikesan adalah salah laku pemimpin utama Pakatan Rakyat seperti +Anwar Ibrahim, Nurul Izzah, Azmin Ali, dan yang terkini adalah ulama tersohor dunia, Menteri Besar Kelantan, Tuan Guru Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat.
Astaghfirullahal azim! Memang benarlah umNO sudah terdesak & tersepit. Hanya dengan cara inilah bagi umNO untuk mengekalkan kuasa dan seterusnya menyelamatkan diri mereka dari dihukum selepas PRU13 kelak

Ingatlah, undi kita ada pahala dan dosa, Inilah yang akan terjadi jika kita mengundi parti Umno-BN yang membuat fitnah lucah sebegini, seolah-olah kita turut menyokong perbuatan mereka. Mahukah anda berkongsi dosa yang anda tidak lakukan?

Inikah parti yang memperjuangkan agama bangsa dan negara? Tak cukup dengan memaki, mengutuk, mencaci & menghina! Ulama pun mereka sanggup fitnah! Nauzubillah Hingga Video Seks Nik Aziz pun ada dan direka.

Sumber Warta Jingga dan Ek Eleh Blog Video Seks Nik Aziz 2013 direka sebelum video seks Mustafa Ali serta Video Seks Nurul Izzah.

video nik aziz

 

‘Esok lepas kita menang, anda semua tukar kereta Camry,’ kata calon PKR

Posted: 12 Apr 2013 03:06 PM PDT

Dalam ceramah anjuran pakatan pembangkang di pasar awam di sini yang dihadiri 300 orang, Muhammad Bakhtiar, seorang aktivis reformasi sejak 1998, berkata: "Esok selepas kita menang, anda semua tukar kereta Camry daripada Proton Wira yang digunakan sekarang."  

Yang turut hadir, Pesuruhjaya PAS negeri, Datuk Mohd Salleh Man, Pengerusi DAP negeri, Chow Kon Yeow, Setiausaha Politik Ketua Menteri Pulau Pinang, Zairil Khir Johari dan calon PAS Dewan Undangan Negeri Bayan Lepas, Asnah Hashim.

Terdahulu, ketika berceramah di Teluk Bahang petang semalam, Muhammad Bakhtiar dilihat hadir dengan menaiki kereta mewah Porsche Cayenne S berwarna hitam bersama pemandu peribadi beliau.

Berucap hanya kira-kira 10 minit beliau memberi alasan isi ucapannya telah disampaikan aktivis DAP, Hew Kuan Yau sebelum giliran beliau.

Dua hari lepas 100 penyokong dan anggota PKR membantah keputusan ketua umum parti itu Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim mempertaruhkan Muhammad Bakhtiar bertanding kerusi Parlimen Balik Pulau pada pilihan raya umum ke-13 (PRU13), 5 Mei ini.

Anwar mengumumkan keputusan itu pada satu ceramah di Sungai Ara 5 April lalu. 

Kumpulan itu mengadakan perhimpunan secara aman di Jalan Baru di sini bagi menyatakan sokongan terhadap penyandang Mohd Yusmadi Mohd Yusoff untuk mempertahankan kerusi itu.

 

Tun Mahathir calon Putrajaya ganti Ku Nan?

Posted: 12 Apr 2013 12:17 PM PDT


'Arkitek' pembangunan Putrajaya itu dikatakan sudah mengadakan pertemuan dengan Pengerusi Barisan Nasional (BN), Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak untuk berbincang perkara berkaitan kerusi di kawasan pusat pentadbiran kerajaan persekutuan itu.

Sumber Sinar Harian yang mendapat maklumat daripada Pejabat Perdana Menteri juga mengesahkan tentang pertemuan antara Najib dan bekas perdana menteri itu baru-baru ini.

Dr Mahathir yang menjadi perdana menteri sejak 1981 bersara pada Oktober 2003 dan tidak bertanding pada pilihan raya umum 2004 dan 2008.

Beliau telah beberapa kali menyatakan tidak berhasrat untuk kembali aktif dalam politik termasuk bertanding dalam pilihan raya umum.

Bagaimanapun beliau berkempen dengan kuat bagi Umno dan BN sejak empat tahun lalu khususnya selepas Najib menjadi perdana menteri.

Dr Mahathir dipercayai mungkin mengambil keputusan bertanding kerusi Parlimen Putrajaya itu setelah mendapati sebahagian besar pengundi di Putrajaya adalah dari Kelantan di mana mempunyai sentimen kuat terhadap Pas dan calon Pas pula berasal dari Kelantan.

Kesungguhan Dr Mahathir menawarkan diri untuk bertanding pada kali ini dikatakan dibuat bagi memastikan Putrajaya yang dibangunkan dari pemikiran dan aspirasi beliau terus kekal di tangan BN.

Penganalisis politik, Prof Datuk Mohamad Abu Bakar berkata, Dr Mahathir, bekas Presiden Umno dan Pengerusi BN, mempunyai pengaruh yang kuat dan kini dilihat begitu bekerja keras berkempen di seluruh negara.

"Najib kemungkinan mengambil perhatian serius terhadap tawaran yang disuarakan bekas perdana menteri itu untuk bersaing Husam merebut kerusi Parlimen Putrajaya.

"Perdana menteri akan buat keputusan terbaik menentukan calon BN di kawasan tersebut dan kemungkinan terpengaruh dan mengambil kira tawaran Mahathir untuk bertanding itu," katanya.

Najib dijangka mengumumkan senarai calon BN Selasa ini.

Mohamad yang juga ada mendengar berita mengenai hasrat Dr Mahathir bertanding di Putrajaya itu memberitahu, pemimpin berstatus negarawan itu akan berhadapan dengan dua implikasi jika bertanding kali ini.

"Pertamanya, jika Mahathir kembali bertanding dalam pilihan raya, ia akan melambangkan BN kini ketandusan calon boleh menang," katanya.

Keduanya, kata Mohamad, Dr Mahathir akan dilihat telah mengambil pendirian bertentangan dengan semangatnya sebelum ini yang sering menasihati pemimpin veteran berundur bagi memberi laluan muka baru.

"Sebelum ini Mahathir lantang menegur pemimpin veteran seperti Mursyidul Am Pas, Datuk Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat dan Penasihat DAP, Lim Kit Siang supaya berundur.
"Jika Mahathir bertanding pada PRU13 ini akan lebih memperlihatkan BN terdesak dan ketandusan calon," katanya.

Mohamad juga tidak menolak kemungkinan faktor kenegerian memainkan turut memainkan peranan mempengaruhi undi.

"Penduduk di Putrajaya majoritinya adalah Melayu, generasi kelas menengah yang kini hidup selesa di mana mereka tidak kisah parti mana yang memerintah sama ada Pakatan Rakyat atau BN.

"Malah ia satu yang tidak mengejutkan jika ada yang mengatakan majoriti penjawat awam di situ berasal dari negeri Kelantan," katanya.

Sekarang terpulang kepada Setiausaha Agung Umno dan BN, Datuk Seri Tengku Adnan Tengku Mansor sama ada mahu beralah melepaskan kerusi itu.

Laporan media sebelum ini menyebut Tengku Adnan yang mesra dengan panggilan Ku Nan akan bertanding mempertahankan kerusi tersebut.

 

Kredit: www.malaysia-today.net
 

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