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Posted: 13 May 2013 12:40 PM PDT

11 out of the 22 swing parliament seats that PR won from BN are Chinese majority seats (largest voting bloc). Whereas all 15 swing seats that BN won from PR are Malay majority seats.

Paraman Subramaniam

In the recently concluded General Elections, the total numbers of eligible Chinese voters were 3.94 million. In Penang they constitute 53.3% of total voters and in Kuala Lumpur 52.2% of the total voters are of Chinese origin. Even though by population the Chinese constitute about 22.56% of the total population in Malaysia but by the number of voters their strength is 29.68% of the total 13.3 million voters in Malaysia. There are also many mixed seats where Chinese voters are present in significant numbers and the way the electoral boundaries are drawn they allow the Chinese voters to be quite influential.

The EC states that 84.84% of the total number of registered voters had cast their vote on the 5th of May. This would mean that we can assume at least 3.4 million Chinese votes were cast. It goes without saying that the majority of Chinese voters are pro Pakatan Rakyat. What no one knows is the actual total percentage of Chinese votes that went to PR.

Considering the number of Chinese supporters that did outnumber all other races at most PR's ceramahs nationwide, many suspect anywhere between 75% to 95% of the Chinese may have voted for PR in the recent GE. It was also reported that a huge number of Malaysians based in Singapore (mainly Chinese) had returned to cast their vote causing a massive traffic jam at the causeway. If the numbers were at least 85% then it would mean that more than half of PR's popular votes amounting to 5.6 million would have consisted of mainly Chinese votes. After deducting the Indian votes as well as the Sabah/Sarawak votes that went for PR, this would leave the Malay votes in PR quite a minority.

A conservative estimate could give PR only attracting 40% of the Malay votes in total. Even though they may have received a considerable amount of new, young urban Malay votes, at the same time PR had lost a lot of their traditional Malay voters that they had in the 2008 GE.

If PR had amassed at the very least 45% of the total Malay vote then they would have easily won the elections. In the 4 predominantly Malay majority states Perlis, Kedah, Kelantan and Trengganu, BN lost an average 0.8% of the popular vote versus PR having gained an average 0.53% of the popular vote when compared with the 12th GE. The overall increase of 2.9 million new voters (28% increase) could have contributed to this.

The net difference of total votes between BN and PR in these 4 states in the recent elections is a mere 9149 votes in favour of PR, however it must be noted that Kedah itself has more than 160,000 registered Chinese voters.

NONE

In the table above, the 23 parliamentary seats have a total average of 26% Chinese voters which may have affected the percentage increase in PR support.

Even Anwar Ibrahim acknowledged recently in the Penang rally that at least half of PR's votes consisted of Chinese voters. "There is only 25 percent Chinese voters and Pakatan obtained 51.4 percent of the popular vote, what happened to the remaining 26 percent?" he queried. (N/p Chinese votes are however not 25% but almost 30%).

PAS information chief Tuan Ibrahim Tuan Man had also particularly singled out the Chinese in his expression of gratitude for the tens of Parliament and state seats that PR had won due to their support. No such thanks were accorded to any other race.

PAS had only won 29% of the parliament seats that it had contested and PKR did marginally better by winning 30% of the seats that it had contested. It was the Chinese dominant DAP that had won 38 out of the 51 seats that it had contested to give it a 75% win margin.

When compared to 2008 GE results, PKR suffered a drop of 3.2% in parliament seats, BN a 5% drop and PAS an 8.7% drop. DAP however enjoyed a 35.7% improvement in parliament seats won in 2013 as compared to the 12th GE. Coincidentally the 2 states that Chinese voters form the majority, Penang and KL, are the only states that PR enjoyed more than 60% of the popular votes.

It gets even more interesting when the swing seats are analysed. There were 15 swing seats that BN had won from PR as opposed to PR who had won 22 swing parliament seats from BN, from GE 12 to GE 13.

11 out of the 22 swing parliament seats that PR won from BN are Chinese majority seats (largest voting bloc). Whereas all 15 swing seats that BN won from PR are Malay majority seats.

The swing seats (22) that PR won from BN had an average of 42.73% Chinese voters. On the other hand the swing seats that BN won from PR (15) had an average of only 11.8% Chinese voters.

The swing parliament seats that PR had won from BN in Peninsular Malaysia (15) had average 56.73% Malay voters as versus 79.34% of Malay voters present in the 15 parliament swing seats that BN had won from PR.

States that PR won more than 50% of popular votes:

Kelantan, Penang, Perak, Selangor and Federal Territory.

These states together consist of 45% of the total population of Malaysia as well as form only 14% of the total area of Malaysia.

States that BN won more than 50% of popular votes:

Perlis, Kedah, Trengganu, Pahang, Negeri Sembilan, Malacca, Johor, Sabah, Sarawak and Labuan.

These states together consist of 55% of the total population of Malaysia as well as form 86% of the total area of Malaysia.

It must be stressed here that the Chinese community did not vote along racial lines but they did appear to vote in one direction in favour of PR as the Indians did in 2008. One could safely say for instance any Malay PAS candidate could have easily won in a predominantly Chinese majority area however the same could not be said that a DAP Chinese candidate could have stood and won in any traditional PAS heartland constituency. The reason the Chinese swung overwhelmingly in favour of PR was in the hope that a change could champion their interests in meritocracy and equality as well as reduce corruption.

PR did not receive support from the Indian community at levels that they had enjoyed in the 12th GE. BN escaped defeat because of the general pullback from PR of the Malays and Indian voters as well as help from their traditional vote bank in East Malaysia.

THE ILLUSION OF RECONCILIATION - Why are Najib’s initiatives bound to fail?

Posted: 13 May 2013 12:21 PM PDT

How do we trust the one calling for reconciliation if he is wielding his weapon? What are the probabilities that he is sincere when he has got a weapon in his hand?

Michael Zechariah

Getting straight to the point, Najib's post GE13 national reconciliation initiatives will miss the point unless ….

Reconciliation will not happen if BN's machinery perpetually engage in bashing up and humiliating the voters (ie. Malaysians who did not vote for them) by calling them (amongst others);

Ungrateful
Traitors
Trouble makers
Threat to national security
Racist
Insane
Stupid

All this is done through pro-BN newspapers, the Internet and TV talk shows where the host and their guests never seem to tone down their attacks on the Malaysian citizens who exercised their constitutional rights and voted for Pakatan Rakyat. Their comments do not reflect one iota of reconciliation. Is Najib talking to himself? Does anyone in his own camp listen to him?

Reconciliation initiatives will be doomed if Najib doesn't put in place Laws like the Race Relations Act. This Act must cover race relations within the current progressive Malaysian context. It must be made unlawful to make any racially motivated derogatory remark to any Malaysian citizen. This amongst others include Keling pariah, Cina babi, Melayu bodoh etc. It must be unlawful even when such derogatory remarks are made in Parliament.

Khairy Jamaludin is talking about 'trust deficit'. He is an intelligent guy among a bunch of non-thinkers. Let us get straight to the brutal truth. The whole lot of reconciliation talk or whatever Najib's initiative in the next 4 to 5 years, is going to be in the hope that BN stays in power after GE14. Nothing more, nothing less. This is the tricky one. How is Najib is going to radically change BN when the curse of BN as it is today is that it is synonymous with corruption, racism and abuse of power?

As the number of Malaysians who want the demise of BN is on the increase day by day, how on earth is Najib going to radically change BN other than to just let it die and give people what they want? Dissolve BN. Call it something else if you have to although no guarantee that it will make a great difference. What is a National line up anyway when the people don't see or connect with the so-called line up that 'supposedly' represents and reflects their aspirations?

The curse of the BN brand is so severe that even the sight of it has become obnoxious to many Malaysians.

Reconciliation will not happen if BN has a different set of definition for corruption, racism and abuse of power.

Reconciliation will not happen if Najib's ministers continue to see the funds allocated to their ministries and states as their yearly inheritance bestowed upon them by virtue of their post and as their entitlement for dissipation.

Reconciliation will not happen when BN's boss, UMNO, still threatens other races with a weapon (keris) and declare bloodshed if they lose even through democratic process. Can anybody imagine if every race in Malaysia wield their traditional weapon at their gatherings and declare some bloodshed to uphold their sovereignty as people? No matter how symbolic their gesture could be, it can only be seen as sending 'the other guys' some kind of warning. How do we trust the one calling for reconciliation if he is wielding his weapon? What are the probabilities that he is sincere when he has got a weapon in his hand?

Reconciliation will not happen when racist NGOs enjoy the patronage of BN heavyweights both past and present.

Reconciliation will not happen when BN condones seditious remarks by their camp.

Reconciliation will not happen if Najib has another boss who dictates to him.

Reconciliation will not happen if only Najib is talking about it but the folks in his camp are doing the opposite.

Reconciliation will not happen if BN politicians constantly scold Malaysians who did not vote for them as irrational.

Reconciliation will not happen if pro-BN media and news readers continue to make disrespectful references to people in Pakatan states and insult their intelligence.

Reconciliation will not happen if the people are not being engaged and only selected so-called pro-BN pundits are called to give their 10 cents' worth. Why bother calling those folks who can't think beyond protecting BN's image even if it makes them look like bloody fools? How can they think outside their mental conditioning and help the reconciliation initiatives? These folks only piss people off further.

Finally, what national reconciliation is Najib talking about anyway?

The mother of all myths is about to be busted. The myth to be busted once and for all is that anything to do with BN has got to do with the nation as a whole, the reason they are called the national line up or the Barisan Nasional - so, if BN loses, the nation loses. This is not only a myth but a stupid one. This myth is busted. End of story. Najib's strategist, if you are reading this, please come up with something new. Good luck.

So at the end of the day, Najib's reconciliation initiatives are actually to reconcile BN with the voting public who did not vote for it. Nothing more, nothing less. The number of votes Pakatan garnered in GE13 reflects the unity among the people of various races. They are not trying to create enemies with anyone. They united for a common cause. They are not paid to attend any gathering. Reconciliation of race relations has been happening in Malaysia for more than 10 years now. It was BN who was too blind to see it. It is clear now that BN did not learn that most Malaysians are mature and are beyond race and religion when they voted Jacklyn Victor, Daniel Lee and Suki Low to win singing competitions at the national level. Sigh!

Who's version of reconciliation initiatives will actually take off eventually? As usual when Najib says one thing, Mahathir will interpret his version from somewhere else. The non-thinking cabinet ministers will be launching their version and interpretation.

Najib's post GE13 national reconciliation initiatives will remain an illusion and will miss the point unless … his camp stops insulting the intelligence of all thinking Malaysians.

Michael Zechariah is a former law lecturer and a corporate professional who currently runs a training firm which specializes in helping governments transform their agencies to more effectively deliver policies aimed at nation building.

We must go on

Posted: 13 May 2013 12:11 PM PDT

After letting them bash the non-Malays at their whims and fancies, during the election BN has the cheek to expect the non-Malays to vote BN.

Lembu Susu

I appeal to both sides of the political divide to accept the result of the election and move on in this country. The rakyat is very, very tired of the polemics of politics.

Though I agree that the election process was not entirely clean and fair, it was also not entirely dirty or rigged (though in some places there were video evidence). Of course BN must take full responsibility (being the ruling government) and must have the will to tidy the whole electoral process; if not, they will face the wrath of the rakyat at the next election, and this time round, the rakyat will not be so forgiving.

Though PR won more seats than in the past, it must not be construed that they won because of the Chinese voters and thus making it a racial issue. Yes, it can be said that more Chinese voted for the Opposition, but they voted the Opposition irrespective of the race of the Opposition's candidate.

To most Chinese, it has nothing to do with race, but national issues that BN has failed to resolve. Just because they did not vote for BN does not make them racists. Race has nothing to do with the reason why they voted for the Opposition. In fact, most Malaysians were disgusted with the whole governance and management of the country by BN. We have become a laughing stock to the world, but yet BN can be foolishly proud.

Through the many years in power, BN has become cocky, arrogant, corrupted to the core, and racist, and there were no evidence that they will change or reform. Just look at the candidates that they had selected as 'winnable candidates': Isa Samad, Tengku Adnan, Shahidan Kassim, Ali Rustam, Raja Nong Chik, and the list can go on and on. These people were tainted and has a record of corruption, and yet Najib fielded them for the election.

It was clear that Najib is not serious about tackling racial disharmony. Just look at Utusan, Ibrahim Ali, Zulkifli Nordin, and Dr Mahathir. They had been spewing out racist remarks with impunity, hurting the non-Malays and dividing the country. Najib never took any action against any of them, and was quiet.

After letting them bash the non-Malays at their whims and fancies, during the election BN has the cheek to expect the non-Malays to vote BN. Ridiculous? It does not make sense. And anything wrong, blame it on the Opposition; better still the non-Malays. And now because BN has lost more seats, will they 'punish' the Chinese for voting the Opposition? Has BN forgotten that it was the Chinese voters who helped keep BN in power during the 1999 elections? (The Malays were divided because of the sacking of Anwar Ibrahim.)

Malaysia cannot go on with this mode. If for the next 5 years BN continues with this mode, it will drive the rakyat further away from them. We are Malaysians irrespective of race or religion and must be treated equally. Can the leaders see beyond race and religion? Can they embrace every Malaysian to be Malaysians without looking at their race or religion? You cannot address the disparity in socio-economics by mistreating other races. Yes, I agree that the leaders must come up with plans and policies to help upgrade the economy of those who are poor and backward, but this must be done irrespective of race.

Malaysia has lost many years because they had done away with meritocracy. How can Malaysia ever compete economically, if we continue to provide crutches within their own commuity? It will bring Malaysia backward and 'punish' the well-deserving. Yes, we must provide a system that can uplift the community who are backward, but it must not be done at the expense of meritocracy.

Malaysia must not be trapped by racism. We must grow out of it.

Kredit: www.malaysia-today.net

Selasa, 14 Mei 2013

Malaysia Today - Your Source of Independent News

Malaysia Today - Your Source of Independent News

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