Ahad, 28 April 2013

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Disaster in the making for BN?

Posted: 27 Apr 2013 03:45 PM PDT

Malaysia could be living the last moments of the BN-Umno in power as Pakatan is expected to perform and deliver this time.

The only thing that can keep Najib in power is the potential support from a majority of the Malays towards the Umno and a divided Indian Malaysian vote, which would leave the Pakatan with the certainty of the Chinese votes alone.

Ali Cordoba, FMT

In all elections and in any contest, there are the favourites and the underdogs as well as the surprise candidates, and in the GE13 in Malaysia it is no different with our own list of expectations.

Top of the list is Anwar Ibrahim, who is the leader of the Pakatan Rakyat opposition formation and the favourite to seize the post of prime minister of Malaysia, a feat never actually possible by the opposition in the country's 55 years of history.

Anwar, once the prime minister designate chosen by Dr Mahathir Mohamad to take the helm of the government, fell in disgrace in 1998 only to rise again from the ashes of historical isolation and he deserves the highlights.

The GE13 is seen as the election crafted by Anwar, with his strategic meddling against the Barisan National's, forcing the ruling coalition to push the election dates nearly to the limit of legality.

The personality of Anwar has overshadowed the four years of Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak rule, to the point that the latter has constantly refused – much to Anwar's expectations – to debate the opposition leader.

A debate that would have been the final nail in the coffin of the BN had it been held in the run-up to the polling date.

Anwar survived a slew of sodomy and sexual misconduct accusations, winning several cases against his most virulent and hard core opponents while he downplayed the hard hitting criticism of Mahathir – his nemesis – and that of his former friends turned foes.

The major timelines of Anwar's political career can be summed as follows:

Vibrant youth leader, founding member of the Malay Youth Islamic Organisation or ABIM, had a rapid rise of fame and leadership position within Umno, he catered for the poor and needy with low cost housing projects and many other crucial economic measures.

As opposition leader, he united a divided opposition group leading them to a massive victory in the 2008 elections, winning five states and a whopping 82 parliamentary seats. A feat never seen before in Malaysian political history.

Anwar is, once again, set to create another historic moment in Malaysia if he grabs the PM post from Najib.

The one element that could prevent Anwar from making history is his apparent lack of support among the Malays in the Malay heartland, in villages and in remote areas in Sabah and Sarawak.

These votes may be crucial for the opposition to overturn the tide in the GE13.

Disaster in the making

Unfortunately for the BN and the Umno, Najib is on the defensive and is going in the GE13 with the psychology of an exiting PM, with his guaranteeing a smooth handover of power if the BN were to lose, and this in itself is a very historical first in Malaysia.

Najib shows that he is feeling the intensity of Anwar's looming shadow over his regime, with the outright copying of the main economic proposals found in the Pakatan manifesto after haranguing the Malaysians over the so called bankruptcy that is looming if the Pakatan were to rule Malaysia.

The only thing that can keep Najib in power is the potential support from a majority of the Malays towards the Umno and a divided Indian Malaysian vote, which would leave the Pakatan with the certainty of the Chinese votes alone.

However, the overbearing presence of Malay right wing extremists within the Umno and the shadowy role played by Mahathir in the current government affairs, may cost Najib his job and the BN seems to be aware of this disaster in the making.

Najib escaped a humiliating defeat in 1999 when he won by a slim margin, defending his parliamentary seat but his popularity as PM is undoubted among a large number of Malaysians, garnering support and admiration to a certain extent in the shortest time possible.

Malaysia could be living the last moments of the BN-Umno in power in this decade as the Pakatan is expected to perform and to deliver if they are to win the elections, thus relegating Najib as the last PM of the BN-Umno era.

The Altantunya Shaariibuu case, the Sodomy 2 and the long delay in calling for the elections could bog Najib down whereas his own statement that he needs his team to win and not only him suggests that there is an eel under the rock.

READ MORE HERE

 

Our choices are shrinking

Posted: 27 Apr 2013 03:20 PM PDT

To what extent will we the people allow our political leaders to indulge themselves in an orgy of race, religions, nepotism and money?

We are now trying to come to terms with the fact that race, religion, nepotism and money politics are all here to stay. It is now a matter of degree.

CT Ali, FMT

Malaysia is no different from any other country. There is not one country free from some quirks and habits that defines their people and their politics.

We are each the product of our past, present and what we want for ourselves in the foreseeable future.

We have to live with what we have today and move forward from there together or we can do it at odds with each other.

We are now trying to come to terms with the fact that race, religion, nepotism and money politics are all here to stay. It is now a matter of degree.

To what extent will we the people allow our political leaders to indulge themselves in an orgy of race, religions, nepotism and money.

A cesspool of undeniably putrid corruption and contemptible arrogance and decadence that will even surprise Sodom and Gomorrah…or worse?

Do not expect these politicians to police themselves. That will be foolish of us. Do not expect the police to police themselves, that would be foolish too.

We must have two strong political entities  – one in power, one in opposition to police each other with us hovering over them.

Remember it takes a thief to catch a thief and politicians themselves will best police other politicians, though of course if they were all to collude then we will find ourselves in a raging Sungai Pahang in the rainy season up the creek without a paddle.

This is not possible you say?

The merry go round of political musical chairs in Malaysia is only tempered when we the rakyat tell these politicians that enough is enough.

Leave the politicians to their own devices and I will be so bold as to suggest that the return of the prodigal son has more adherents within Pakatan Rakyat than within Umno. For after all "ashes to ashes…dusts to dusts: We are from the earth and to the earth we will all eventually return!"

When today is over, all will still be the same. BN will still be Umno orientated and Pakatan will still need Anwar Ibrahim to hold it together for now until DAP call in their marker and get their come uppance for helping Anwar become PM.

PAS, well PAS will try for Terengganu and be happy with that as hudud in Kelantan and Terengganu will be less messy and cumbersome than anywhere else. It's more manageable there!

The clock then strikes midnight and all will be well for Malaysia until the morning brings new light to an old problem that will most probably not go away from our lives, not now, not tomorrow, not after the 13th GE. Perhaps never!

The mother crab cannot ask her children to walk straight.

READ MORE HERE

 

Cyber bullies take it out on 'traitors'

Posted: 27 Apr 2013 02:40 PM PDT

The anger directed at those who do not share the same political beliefs is getting out of hand, especially in cyberspace.

Wong Chun Wai, The Star

SOMETHING is seriously wrong with us when anyone who expresses support for the Barisan Nasional is viciously attacked by cyber bullies. And this is more so when that person happens to be from the Chinese community.

To the fanatical supporters of Pakatan Rakyat, it is an unforgivable act of treason for anyone from that community to back the Barisan government.

The impression given, unfortunately, is that the Chinese must stand up against Barisan.

It seems ironic that the other major communities Malays and Indians who are also being courted by both sides are not subjected to the same "us-or-them" siege mentality.

It is a dangerous trend and, if not properly addressed, the cyber bullies, emboldened by the anonymous nature of the social media, would be further encouraged to intensify their attacks.

Their most high-profile target to date is international actress Datuk Seri Michelle Yeoh who is being vilified in cyberspace simply because she has exercised her democratic right to support the Barisan. She has made no secret of the fact that Barisan is her choice and that she genuinely believes Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak is the best person to lead the country.

The whole point of having a general election is that the people are given freedom to choose who they think is the best political party to govern the country. Whether a voter chooses to support Barisan or Pakatan, that fundamental right must be respected.

Those who are Net-savvy, more than any other category of people, should be aware that it is a given in any democracy that celebrities lend support to political parties.

Just check out the full list of actors and actresses, athletes, Nobel Prize laureates, etc, who openly endorsed either Barack Obama or Mitt Romney in their race to the White House. These are people whose appeal cut across all divides, yet they were not castigated when they openly stated their choice during the last US presidential election.

But here in Malaysia, when you do that, you risk being labelled as a running dog or traitor, and these are pretty mild terms when compared to other unprintable labels hurled at Barisan supporters. And you don't even have to be a member of the ruling coalition.

One recent example was when pro-Opposition cyber troopers uploaded a photograph of a woman and accompanied it with harsh and vulgar comments.

The woman, a committee member of the Malaysian Youth Rights Movement, was also threatened with gang rape and murder over her stand on some issues.

We appear to be heading towards a fascist state, in cyberspace at least, when groups who do not share your political ideals will shout you down and punish you.

Incredibly, these cyber bullies have all along been telling us that they are fighting for freedom of expression and democracy, which they strongly feel are ideals missing from this country. Yet, they have become more monstrous than those who they claim are shackling our democratic liberties.

Blame it on the silly season or the heat of the elections but surely we as Malaysians must be able to conduct ourselves in a moderate manner instead of fanatically shouting down anyone who has a different viewpoint.

I am not spared either. I have received numerous e-mail ordering me to "repent" because I am seen to be inclined to the Barisan, which to these psychologically disturbed people is a sin to the church and congregation, thus the need to seek "forgiveness".

It does not help when some pastors use the pulpit to deliver sermons and prayers which are skewed towards a certain party. What is worse, in some cases, are those pastors who parrot allegations picked up at ceramah and the social media without verifying the facts first.

Granted that we are all interested in the general election and all the issues that have been raised. This is a healthy development in a changing political landscape, but we need to remind ourselves that everyone is entitled to his or her choice.

There seems to be a "stereotype" mentality that if you fall within certain categories race, religion, occupation, place of residence your political affiliation is already confirmed.

And so we are inundated with similar e-mail each morning from friends and strangers who simply forward the mail without a thought to our real political leanings.

The social media has allowed many of us to connect through forums that bring together people who go to the same schools or universities, and come from similar professions and who share the same hobbies. Yet, even in these seemingly innocent forums, throw in a bit of politics, and people start to fight.

And what about those who are attacked simply by association? As one Barisan candidate told a forum at a church, the children and wives become targets even when they are not involved at all in politics.

Why do we place more importance on politicians rather than our friends, colleagues, neighbours or employers?

Long after the dust has settled, when we become ordinary people in an ordinary world, we will learn that most of the newly elected YBs will no longer be free to see to our needs.

The person who is all smiles while seeking your vote will suddenly be too busy to even take an appointment then. But the people you have forsaken in this short but silly season will be the ones who rally around you in your time of need.

I believe we should all be passionate about what we stand for, but let us also at the same time accord the same respect to those who think otherwise. Isn't that what real democracy is all about, be it at home, the workplace, our place of worship or society at large?

 

Are we not a tolerant society?

Posted: 27 Apr 2013 02:13 PM PDT

The support of an internationally-acclaimed actress for Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister has caused cyber bullies to pour scorn on her. But these people fail to appreciate the fact that opinions don't always coincide.

The simple truth is that this kind of bashing indicates that we are still a young democracy and social media is enabling everyone to comment on anything and everything. While social media allows for free expression, it is also exposing our fears and vulnerabilities.

Baradan Kuppusamy, The Star

HER support for and endorsement of Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak was clear, generous and unequivocal.

International actress and celebrity Datuk Seri Michelle Yeoh (pic) wanted Najib to continue as Prime Minister and Malaysians to give him the large mandate he is seeking in the May 5 vote.

At a dinner in Klang on April 21, Michelle openly told the huge audience: "We have a leader here who has done so many good things and will do more.

"I hope from the bottom of my heart that he will remain as Prime Minister and I ask all of you to give him a strong mandate."

Najib, who was also on stage, along with MCA president Datuk Seri Dr Chua Soi Lek and a number of Chinese businessmen, was pleasantly surprised by her clear endorsement of him.

In her speech, Michelle did not mention Pakatan Rakyat leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim, who will be prime minister if the coalition he leads captures Putrajaya.

She did not criticise Anwar or compare him with Najib either, but only had praise for the Prime Minister and wanted him to win and continue to lead the country.

For saying that, she has been denounced by cyber troopers aligned with or who are supporters of Pakatan.

These bullies took to social networking sites to lambast Michelle after an unofficial Facebook page in Chinese themed "We Fully Support PKR" highlighted a local Chinese daily report about the dinner.

The page posted a message on April 12 addressed to Michelle, which read: "You were once Malaysian people's pride but now no longer."

The anonymous author of the post then went on to ask Michelle if she had "any idea how her fellow countrymen live" before urging the 49-year-old actress to reconsider her decision and "not become a traitor".

As of this week, the page had received over 8,000 "likes" and some 1,500 comments, many of which are hostile to Michelle.

In any mature democracy, it is common practice for celebrities to endorse candidates as they do in the United States, Europe, Latin America and even India.

Be it an actor, actress, a retired general, rock singer or even celebrity chef, they all try to use their star power to endorse their favourite candidate in the hope that he or she succeeds.

In the recent US presidential election, for example, actor Ben Affleck and actress Drew Barrymore, just to name two, endorsed Barack Obama.

On the other hand, actor Clint Eastwood and Chuck Norris, again two among scores of others, endorsed Obama's challenger Mitt Romney.

They even donated huge sums of money for the campaigns of their preferred candidates.

Everybody gets into the endorsement game from celebrity chefs to actors and actresses, academics and even major newspapers but they are all civil about it.

They don't call one another traitor or accuse each other of betraying their country, race, religion or party.

Their followers or fans, who have their own political preferences, take the celebrity endorsement at face value.

And the game is played over again, at the national level, four years later.

But here, the political divide is particularly severe and has turned people into mean and nasty cyber bullies lashing out to draw blood, hurt or even to kill with their keyboards.

The writer of the April 12 message is clearly biased based on his/her comments.

Cyber bullies jumped on the bandwagon, taking it out on Michelle.

Some accused her of being selfish and caring only for "fame, power, and money" while others urged all to boycott her movies.

One even blamed her for environmental damage since she is from Ipoh!

"Please don't side with the enemy" was the usual refrain of the commentators.

Among the rants and brickbats were a few who supported her, saying it was her right as a citizen to support who she wants.

One writer said: "Supporting BN doesn't mean one is a traitor. Can everyone be more sensible? We are a democratic country."

The simple truth is that this kind of bashing indicates that we are still a young democracy and social media is enabling everyone to comment on anything and everything.

While social media allows for free expression, it is also exposing our fears and vulnerabilities.

Everything comes packaged together and they are here to stay, part of the new political landscape the world over.

Michelle also defended her endorsement of Najib in an interview with Channel News Asia, saying like everyone, she is free to give her views.

"This is a democratic country and we are free to voice our opinions," she said.

We should leave matters at that everybody has a right to his or her opinion on anything and who they endorse is their business.

The belief that "one may not agree with your opinion but will defend your right to express it" is a cornerstone of a tolerant democracy.

 

Opposition will clinch the popular vote in the 13th GE

Posted: 27 Apr 2013 12:35 PM PDT

https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQIiAzJAtxz8PuCN2C6Twiz-yGsaXrl_mIiMak3r2TfDfEi0kmBpw 

Joe Fernandez

Familiarity breeds contempt.

There's no doubt whatsoever that Umno/BN is very unpopular notwithstanding attempts by it to bribe its way back into power with the people's money. If there needs to be a basis for comparison we can use Pakatan Rakyat (PR) in the opposition.

The Opposition in general and the PR Opposition Alliance in particular will clinch the popular vote come the 13th General Election. On paper, Umno/BN can win 112 seats in Parliament by getting as little as 18.9 per cent of the votes cast because there are many tiny seats in Malaysia like Putrajaya which has only 15,000 voters. But they won't have a moral mandate to rule.

PR has a very short history unlike Umno/BN which has had plenty of practice over the last 56 years rubbing people the wrong way.

There's universal unhappiness with Umno/BN and that includes the Malays who, except for government jobs, free degrees, subsidies and handouts and a few ringgit in Amanah Saham Bumiputera, have nothing more than the proverbial shirts on the backs. Handouts are something to be ashamed about. It simply shows that the Malays, after 56 years of rule by a Melayu Umno Government, have degenerated into a community of beggars, forever dependent on the Government.

So, it can be said that the great majority of the Malays are very unhappy with Umno/BN. Even then, let's keep on the safe side given the propaganda on bangsa, agama dan negara and confusion and assume that 60 per cent of the Malay votes cast will be for Umno/BN. That's 9 per cent more than in 2008.

The great majority of the Chinese are very unhappy with Umno/BN. In 2008, the figure was 65 per cent. This time, it will be at least 70 per cent of the Chinese votes cast going against Umno/BN. Since Umno can no longer command the undivided support of the Malays, the Chinese see no reason to back the parties claiming to represent the non-Malays in the BN.

An Umno/BN Government not in the interest of Indians

The great majority of the Indians are very unhappy with Umno/BN. In 2008, it was an unprecedented 85 per cent voting against Umno/BN.

This time, it's said the underclass Indians in particular have cooled down somewhat despite Umno/BN still not doing anything for them. It's more like that they have given up on politics and government.

It would be interesting to know what percentage of the Indians registered as voters the last time turned out to vote. Was it a higher percentage than in 2004?

A higher voter turnout means the people are angry and therefore the Government of the Day would be in trouble.

An Umno/BN Gov't is not in the best interest of Indians.

Indians suffered 56 years of internal colonization under Umno/BN. Even now, Umno/BN is just bullshitting the Indians because the racist civil service doesn't release funds to Indians despite public pledges by the politicians. It's more important to throw out Umno/BN than for the Indian underclass to quarrel with PR over the Hindraf Blueprint.

Many underclass Indians are stateless and can't vote

It's not in the Indian interest to "destroy" PR.

Anyway, the Indians – the underclass in particular -- have to decide which way their bread can be buttered.

If they decide wrongly, they will have to live with the consequences for 5 years, hopefully not another 50 years.

Abstaining will deny PR the Indian votes needed and help BN to "win".

Indians must speak with one voice i.e. the Indians in general and members of the underclass who are not stateless.

Divided they would be that much weaker.

Indians can't be rooting for Umno/BN after having suffered internal colonization under them for 56 years. Indians will get a great benefit by voting for PR: they will be able to get rid of Umno/BN once and for all. That benefit itself is enough for the moment.

The enemy (PR) of my enemy (Umno/BN) is my friend.

Fortunately for PR, many Indian underclass are stateless and can't vote while others and Indians in general may not entirely root for Umno/BN despite the Persatuan Hindraf Malaysia (PHM) or Hindraf Malaysia Association (Himas) urging them to do so in return for the recent Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed too little too late with them by the outgoing ruling coalition. Many hardcore Hindraf Makkal Sakthi (HMS or Hindraf) activists themselves are taking an apolitical approach in line with the ad hoc apolitical human rights people's movement's objectives despite Himas claiming ownership of Hindraf.

Sarawak has historical opportunity to secede before May 5 or after

The issue before the electorate for the 13th GE: no party or coalition of parties should be in power for more than two or three terms at a stretch.

The BN has been in power, by hook and by crook, for 56 years and should be asked to go, to be replaced by the Opposition.

The BN's by hook or by crook methods are no longer working.

The likely results, according to my Crystal Ball, come the 13th GE to be held on May 5:

BN 107 parliamentary seats (Umno Malaya 53 + Sabah Umno 12; other BN in Malaya 12; other Sabah BN 6; Sarawak BN 24).

(Note 1: BN will probably try to form a Minority Gov't on the grounds that PR is not a registered organisation and that it (BN) holds the single largest block of votes in Parliament, if not try to hand over power to the Army in the face of imminent UN Sanctions and withdrawal of diplomatic representation by Commonwealth and many countries, if Dap or Pas refuses to abandon PKR and join the BN Government and Sarawak BN decides to secede – "it now or never" -- or remain neutral to wrest greater political concessions for "Sarawak".)

(Note 2: If it doesn't secede (it's now or never), Sarawak BN 24 will either remain neutral or support PR "at a price" to form the Federal Government. PR Prime Minister will be from PKR since it will have more seats than Pas and PKR/Pas combined will have more seats than Dap. Pas will support PKR to hold the Prime Minister's post. Sarawak BN too will support PKR for the Prime Minister's post if it comes to a count.)

It's in the interest of a 3rd Force to have a Hung Parliament

DAP 49 (Malaya 41; Sabah 2; Sarawak 6)

PKR 31 (29 Malaya + 1 Sarawak + 1 Sabah)

(Sabah Umno 12 and 10 Umno in Malaya likely to support PKR after the GE)

Pas 25 (Malaya)

Star 5 (Sabah) – from United Borneo Alliance (United Borneo Front 3; Usno 2)

(Other Sabah BN 6 likely to support Star)

Independents 5 (Malaya)

(MIC will collapse completely if it fails to retain at least 2 of its parliamentary seats)

Note: Both BN and PR will have to focus on the 3rd Force -- Sabah, Sarawak, Sabahans and Sarawakians in Malaya, Orang Asli, Christians in Malaya, other minorities, fence sitters, Indian underclass and other Indians --  some of the seats likely to be won by Usno and Star, if not woo them.

It's in the interest of the 3rd Force to ensure that the next Parliament is a Hung one.  However, it's not in their interest for PKR to swallow Umno or vice versa. We don't want a repeat of Umno Baru swallowing Semangat '46.

Brave New World from creative destruction and chaos

The State Reform Party (Star) in Sabah and Sarawak is taking the "better safe than sorry" position and maintaining that it really doesn't know who will form the Government in Putrajaya on May 5.

It could be, according to Star strategists and insiders, any number of combinations:

(a) Umno/Hindraf-BN Borneo-3rd Force;

(b) Umno/Hindraf-BN Borneo-3rd Force-Dap;

(c) BN/Hindraf;

(d) PR-BN Sarawak;

(e) PR-Umno Sabah;

(f) PR-BN Sarawak-Umno Sabah;

(g) PR-BN Sarawak-Umno Sabah-3rd Force; or

(h) any other combination of parties.

A New Order for a brave, new world can only come out of creative destruction and chaos.

All Governments are Evil and must be constantly cut down to size

If Umno/BN manages to form a Minority Government, come May 5, or a simple majority government – with or without the popular vote – it should share Federal Cabinet and Government posts with the Opposition without the necessity of a Coalition Government. In Parliament, they would continue to sit at the opposite poles.

Sharing the Government will be a pre-emptive strike, preventing the Opposition from taking to the streets and occupying Dataran Merdeka to launch a Malaysian Spring. The Opposition will take this approach if it's convinced that Umno/BN cannot be overthrown at the ballot box.

If the Opposition forms a simple majority government, it can "return the favour" although it has pledged to conduct due diligence of Umno/BN's 56 years in power; audit all development plans of the previous government for corruption elements; and review or scrap Umno/BN development plans as and when deemed necessary.

Royal Fugitive Blogger Raja Petra Kamarudin wrote in http://www.malaysia-today.net/mtcolumns/56233-in-this-game-of-thrones  "Remember one more thing. There is no such thing as a good government, never mind which government you choose. All governments are bad. And the longer they remain in power the worse they become (as Barisan Nasional and many other governments all over the world that have been in power for too long have proven). The only thing is how do we prevent the bad government from being bad? That is what you and I must now concentrate on."

That's a gross understatement on his part sitting in comfort or otherwise in England.

All Governments are Evil and must be constantly cut down to size and thrown out every term so that the people can be safe from the scoundrels – Jeffrey Kitingan, Joseph Pairin Kitingan, Bernard Giluk Dompok, Daniel Tajem, Nurul Izzah Anwar, Khairy Jamaluddin, Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah, Nik Aziz, Hadi Awang, Lim Kit Siang, Lim Guan Eng, P. Uthayakumar, P. Waythamoorthy and his bosom pal Najib Abdul Razak excluded -- who call themselves politicians as a first resort.

Except for Najib, Nurul, Khairy, LGE and Razaleigh, those named are in politics as a last resort. The jury is still out on whether those named are scoundrels or otherwise.

Whether a threat or a vow, Hudud is of no consequence

Democracy is all about the right of the majority in Parliament to rule and the right of the minority -- not the Opposition in Parliament -- i.e. the losing votes in an election to be heard. Under our first past the post system, the voice of the minority is not heard. The majority cannot be viewed in terms of the 55 per cent Malay majority and neither can the minority be viewed in terms of the 45 per cent non-Malay minorities.

Pas has not threatened to implement Hudud. It has vowed to implement it. The Government should cower in fear of the people and not vice versa.

Whether a threat or a vow, Hudud is of no consequence.

Hudud and creeping Islamisation are not only against the Constitution of Malaysia and the 1963 Malaysia Agreement; it's against the vested interests who will not hesitate to take out the pro-Hudud lobby.

We cannot in law and the Constitution have two separate criminal systems to judge the same people -- i.e. Malaysians -- for a crime. The idea that Hudud would only be for Muslims is therefore nonsensical. No Government in Malaysia, even with a two-thirds majority, can amend the secular Constitution and implement Hudud.

The great flaw in Islamic and Chinese legal systems is that they are based on the naive idea that "if headache, pass a law to cure it. If toothache, pass a law to sure it." That's Rule by Law.

Modern law is based on jurisprudence, principles and maxims. So-called Islamic jurisprudence discredits itself when it draws from wahy (divine revelation). That's Rule by Law. God cannot choose to hide himself from mankind for all eternity and claim to rule Earth. The Earth is ruled by man. Man subscribes to the Rule of Law.

Having said that, Pas is neither about religion nor about Islam but politics.

I will be glad if May 5 is the beginning of our "problems".  Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim has publicly pledged that Sarawak will have a new Chief Minister after May 5. Sarawak Chief Minister Abdul Taib Mahmud has been cowering in fear since that public pledge.

Detention or house arrest of Taib pre-emptive strike to prevent secession

I hope that May 5 is not at all about self-preservation (the more things appear to change, the more they remain the same). It's said that change comes but seldom, but when it comes it's sudden. In physics, we learn about resistance in the Law of Inertia: A body at rest tends to stay at rest, unless acted upon by external forces. A body in motion tends to stay in motion, unless acted upon by external forces.

If Sarawak wants to capitalize on the political disunity in Malaya and the weakness of Putrajaya, the State Assembly should preferably pass a Resolution before May 5 to secede; in which case it would automatically be out of the 13th General Election, although it can also pass the said Resolution after that date. This assumes that the members of the State Assembly are not rounded up before May 5 and detained. Alternatively, the detention or "house arrest" of Sarawak Chief Minister Taib Mahmud alone should be sufficient to get the State Assembly members in line.

Sarawak's secession, if any, before May 5 should not bring the 13th GE to a screeching halt in Malaya and the declaration of a State of Emergency. The GE in Sabah should be terminated.

Sabah became independent on 31 Aug, 1963 and Sarawak on 22 July, 1963.

The Federal Government has been in non-compliance on the 1963 Malaysia Agreement and other constitutional documents on Malaysia which supposedly came into being on 16 Sept, 1963. Both the governments of Sabah and Sarawak will be super rich when these two Borneo nations are no longer in Malaysia. Their peoples will be ten times better off than they are now.

For another theory on the 13th GE see the following which I didn't read: http://abrahampenrose.wordpress.com/2012/12/08/ge13-malaysia-forecast-using-the-uniform-swing-theory/


Joe Fernandez is a graduate mature student of law and an educationist, among others, who loves to write especially Submissions for Clients wishing to Act in Person. He also tutors at local institutions and privately. He subscribes to Dr Stephen Hawking's "re-discovery" of the ancient Indian theory that "the only predictable property of the universe is chaos". He feels compelled, as a semi-retired journalist, to put pen to paper -- or rather the fingers to the computer keyboard -- whenever something doesn't quite jell with his weltanschauung (worldview) or to give a Hearing to All. He shuttles between points in the Golden Heart of Borneo formed by the Sabah west coast, Labuan, Brunei, northern Sarawak and the watershed region in Borneo where three nations meet. He's half-way through a semi-autobiographical travelogue, A World with a View.


 

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