Malaysia Today - Your Source of Independent News

What it all boils down to (UPDATED with Chinese Translation)

Posted: 29 Apr 2013 06:25 PM PDT

Now, if I were to bet RM100,000 on Pakatan Rakyat winning more than 100 seats, I might most likely win RM100,000. However, if I were to bet RM100,000 on Pakatan Rakyat NOT winning 100 seats, then I might lose my RM100,000 but, if I win, I will win RM1 million.

NO HOLDS BARRED

Raja Petra Kamarudin

The graphics below from The Malaysian Insider are very interesting. Malaysians understand pictures better than long cheong hei pieces so maybe you can look at those graphics to understand what is going to happen this Sunday, 5th May 2013.

Umno is contesting 120 out of the 222 parliamentary seats. The non-Umno parties in Barisan Nasional are contesting the balance 102 (60 in West Malaysia, 11 in Sabah, 31 in Sarawak, and 1 independent/Ibrahim Ali).

Assuming the 60 non-Umno/Barisan Nasional candidates in West Malaysia are going to get reduced to just 5 (MCA only), then Umno must win at least 70 of the 105 seats in West Malaysia.

That would give Barisan Nasional a total of 75 out of the 165 parliamentary seats in West Malaysia while Pakatan Rakyat would have 90 seats.

Then Umno needs to win another 10 seats in Sabah (losing 5) to make it a total of 85 seats.

Then the non-Umno/Barisan Nasional candidates in Sabah must deliver at least 6 seats (losing 5) and this would give the opposition 10 parliamentary seats in Sabah with Barisan Nasional controlling 16 of the 26 seats.

PBB in Sarawak must deliver 12 seats with another 12 from the other Sarawak coalition members giving Barisan Nasional a total of 24 seats and the opposition 7.

Hence the non-Umno/Barisan Nasional candidates in East Malaysia will deliver 30 seats combined to add to Umno's 85 to make it a total of 115, with 107 seats going to Pakatan Rakyat

That is what the Chinese bookies are giving Pakatan Rakyat, more than 100 parliamentary seats.

And if you bet on Pakatan Rakyat NOT winning more than 100 parliamentary seats and they do not, then you will walk away with RM10 for every Ringgit that you bet, odds of ten to one.

Good money, no, if Pakatan Rakyat does not win more than 100 seats?

Now, if I were to bet RM100,000 on Pakatan Rakyat winning more than 100 seats, I might most likely win RM100,000. However, if I were to bet RM100,000 on Pakatan Rakyat NOT winning 100 seats, then I might lose my RM100,000 but, if I win, I will win RM1 million.

Hmm…if I were a gambling man which do you think I would bet on?

***************************

归根究底

现在，如果我下注10万块钱，赌民联会赢多过100席的话，那我赢得10万块钱的机会会很大。无论如何，如果我把那10万赌在民联不会赢的话，虽然说我输的机会很大，但如果我赢的话，我就会获得100万。

原文：Raja Petra Kamarudin

译文：方宙

以上大马内幕者刊登的图表是很有意思的。比起'长气'的文章，大马人一般会更容易看得懂图表，所以你可以看看这些图表来更清楚地了解这个星期日到底会发生什么事情。

这次在所有222个国席当中，巫统会在120个国席竞选（西马105席，沙巴15席）。而剩余的102个将会由非巫统的国阵成员党竞选（西马60席，沙巴11席，砂劳越31席，独立人士/土权会的伊不拉欣阿里1席）

假使西马60席的非巫统国阵候选人只输剩5席（其他都输光，只有马华胜出5席），那巫统就必须从西马的105席中赢得70席。那既代表，西马165席当中，国阵只胜出75席，而民联90席。

巫统然后在沙巴的15席当中赢得10席，现在国阵就有85席。非巫统的国阵候选人再赢多6席（输掉5席），那国阵在沙巴26个国席中就会控制16个，其他10个则归民联。

砂劳越的PBB必须胜出12席，再配合其他成员党的12席，那国阵在砂劳越就会牢控24席，而民联只赢得7席。

既是说，东马的非巫统国阵候选人必须交出30个议席，加上巫统自己本身的80+5席，那他们的总数会是115席，对垒民联的107席。

这就是华人卜基开给民联的，他们认为民联将会赢多过100个国席。

如果你赌民联不会胜多过100个国席的话，那你的赔率会是1赔10，即你下1块钱注，庄家赔你10块钱。

如果民联真的赢少过100席的话，那你将会赢得很多钱，不是吗？

哼。。。如果我是名赌徒的话，你们猜我会下哪个注呢？

Kredit: www.malaysia-today.net

Selasa, 30 April 2013

Malaysia Today - Your Source of Independent News

Malaysia Today - Your Source of Independent News

0 ulasan:

Catat Ulasan